CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs los kogutos (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6b03689af97db16622b01eba348c2ece06fb44274fc1e5747cf178c17af28c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- los kogutosof AM Gaming, los kogutos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,223
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,548
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,223 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbec7…5977backed AM Gaming | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.67 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed los kogutos | 45c | 1,172$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.6 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed los kogutos | 45c | 1,100$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed AM Gaming | 2c | 926$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ba…621fbacked AM Gaming | 55c | 275$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.25 | 190 | 43.7%83 W · 107 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked AM Gaming | 29c | 259.62$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.62 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked los kogutos | 37c | 241.33$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked los kogutos | 71c | 205.9$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.46 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked AM Gaming | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed los kogutos | 47c | 105$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40d7…615fbacked los kogutos | 72c | 95.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked AM Gaming | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked AM Gaming | 18c | 63.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b9…0a9bbacked AM Gaming | 55c | 54.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.83 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde0c…970dbacked AM Gaming | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked los kogutos | 70c | 35.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…a98bbacked los kogutos | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed los kogutos | 46c | 32.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked AM Gaming | 49c | 31.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccdd…0429backed los kogutos | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…a3d3backed AM Gaming | 53c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed AM Gaming | 46c | 25.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…304cbacked AM Gaming | 53c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6630…703cbacked los kogutos | 45c | 22.57$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d38…dee2backed AM Gaming | 56c | 20.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.