CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Favbet vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - European Pro League Series 4 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8250636a9fb37fe3e7eb6593a82e52b4b65707500da4477b506d3b5765f51db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Favbetof Favbet, ex-RUBY
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,075
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,756
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,075 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked ex-RUBY | 36c | 3,286$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.66 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Favbet | 40c | 1,600$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.34 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ex-RUBY | 39c | 959.99$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.3 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb4…48bebacked Favbet | 50c | 776.52$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.26 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked ex-RUBY | 41c | 495.95$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.26 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33f1…7a59backed ex-RUBY | 44c | 487.03$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Favbet | 57c | 385$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.35 | 286 | 60.1%172 W · 114 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75ab…eb07backed Favbet | 60c | 344.01$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.94 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Favbet | 45c | 333.53$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.02 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed Favbet | 52c | 319.23$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.23 | 350 | 33.4%117 W · 233 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeec1…7a0abacked Favbet | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc22c…9c02backed Favbet | 45c | 285$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked ex-RUBY | 55c | 244.2$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.26 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x096a…0074backed Favbet | 46c | 218.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed ex-RUBY | 55c | 199.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.99 | 204 | 62.7%128 W · 76 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Favbet | 49c | 166.24$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.33 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c19…859cbacked Favbet | 73c | 160$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.7 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7b…0cc9backed Favbet | 63c | 159.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.33 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49a1…41cbbacked Favbet | 76c | 144.21$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.25 | 87 | 70.1%61 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…5d96backed Favbet | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…0540backed Favbet | 70c | 120.04$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.31 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3d…189dbacked ex-RUBY | 26c | 116.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked ex-RUBY | 61c | 111$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.71 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Favbet | 32c | 96.87$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.2 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec6…e52cbacked ex-RUBY | 54c | 93.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…67c5backed Favbet | 48c | 92.1$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.89 | 305 | 27.5%84 W · 221 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed ex-RUBY | 55c | 91.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d4…7f3bbacked ex-RUBY | 16c | 90$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a7…96f9backed ex-RUBY | 33c | 89.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked ex-RUBY | 48c | 80.29$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.54 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x820b…d27abacked ex-RUBY | 57c | 76.14$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.66 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed ex-RUBY | 28c | 75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Favbet | 46c | 71.09$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.35 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4850…6442backed Favbet | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b16…9f80backed ex-RUBY | 80c | 64$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…d1e7backed Favbet | 49c | 60.59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Favbet | 41c | 59.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.39 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x425f…0f7abacked ex-RUBY | 61c | 57$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.89 | 117 | 47%55 W · 62 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac1…2ea7backed Favbet | 77c | 51.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…07b2backed ex-RUBY | 67c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa100…60e1backed ex-RUBY | 52c | 49.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 137 | 37.2%51 W · 86 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x460e…607cbacked Favbet | 64c | 49.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62f9…ae42backed ex-RUBY | 50c | 49.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x240a…63c1backed Favbet | 66c | 44.24$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9388…8b79backed Favbet | 59c | 42.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.52 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0173…88bcbacked ex-RUBY | 60c | 41.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec48…d04cbacked ex-RUBY | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4461…5999backed Favbet | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8089…d74cbacked ex-RUBY | 43c | 36.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…cbe5backed Favbet | 79c | 35.57$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x184e…b307backed Favbet | 70c | 35.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x680d…98b8backed Favbet | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 75 | 69.3%52 W · 23 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf63c…3dc4backed ex-RUBY | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccdd…0429backed Favbet | 43c | 34.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Favbet | 44c | 34.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed Favbet | 59c | 33.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.87 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x681b…cd71backed Favbet | 51c | 32.76$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf60c…f540backed ex-RUBY | 61c | 32.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Favbet | 63c | 31.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d91…c930backed ex-RUBY | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa413…9242backed Favbet | 68c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.28per pick | 42cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd897…7e59backed Favbet | 76c | 26.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed ex-RUBY | 56c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked ex-RUBY | 51c | 24.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…d031backed Favbet | 69c | 20.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661e…c63ebacked ex-RUBY | 60c | 20.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb15…cbdabacked ex-RUBY | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc1…2dcabacked ex-RUBY | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.