Serie A · resolved market
Hellas Verona FC vs. Pisa SC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1a836ab8d2934f75f8a1a883353cf879a12426f01bf7c4a1cc1be13d5449652
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,541
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,610
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,541 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 72c | 12,154$8,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,357.03 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 20c | 4,479$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.87 | 72 | 20.8%15 W · 57 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked Over | 39c | 3,599$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403.75 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.89 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 29c | 1,250$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.03 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 60c | 1,139$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.62 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67a7…86cebacked Over | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked Under | 65c | 713.85$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 58c | 547.62$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 131 | 37.4%49 W · 82 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Over | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Over | 25c | 400$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Under | 61c | 326.3$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.3 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 32c | 309.48$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 114 | 29.8%34 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 331 | 44.7%148 W · 183 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 66c | 290.9$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.45 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf82…0a32backed Over | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 24c | 206.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +15.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 58c | 192.12$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.77 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Under | 65c | 190.92$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.92 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9184…6048backed Under | 62c | 161.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.37 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Under | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 86 | 59.3%51 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Over | 39c | 150$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 116 | 66.4%77 W · 39 L | +14.6wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…00cbbacked Over | 40c | 137.5$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6746…70e1backed Over | 42c | 120.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 38c | 104.42$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Over | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Over | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +5.4wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4f26…14f0backed Over | 41c | 90$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.78 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 18c | 82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 149 | 36.2%54 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 59c | 79.96$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.78 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 14c | 75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe350…61f0backed Under | 61c | 63$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 85 | 23.5%20 W · 65 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Over | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…99e5backed Over | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +15.5wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4a…4fb5backed Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed1…1094backed Under | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Under | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed Over | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Over | 40c | 36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Over | 38c | 35.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7f…986dbacked Under | 61c | 32.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x744f…4eacbacked Over | 39c | 31.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaae4…5ae6backed Under | 61c | 31.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Under | 62c | 30.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe848…6220backed Over | 39c | 27.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 41c | 27.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Under | 74c | 25.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 249 | 55%137 W · 112 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccdd…0429backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fb…6d42backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…0ed2backed Over | 42c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.7wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…6865backed Under | 60c | 23.02$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 60cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 78c | 22.72$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 310 | 51.6%160 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 60c | 21.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e85…443ebacked Under | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Under | 74c | 19.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hellas Verona FC vs. Pisa SC: O/U 2.5this page
- Hellas Verona FC vs. Pisa SC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Hellas Verona FC vs. Pisa SC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Hellas Verona FC vs. Pisa SC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Hellas Verona FC vs. Pisa SC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.