Serie A · resolved market
Hellas Verona FC vs. Pisa SC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67ee85efa1930482e5235038e621dffc6c7bbc355d6722ebda2aa71a9fa5884d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,960
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,230
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,960 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 61c | 2,405$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.37 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 66c | 1,971$1,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.13 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3060…c709backed Over | 69c | 1,452$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Over | 38c | 765$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.34 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +5.4wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Over | 37c | 696$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.78 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd67…bb43backed Over | 68c | 514.71$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 31c | 500$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a7…86cebacked Over | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over | 25c | 496$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 72c | 400$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 32c | 368.84$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.54 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 55c | 361.95$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.44 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 31c | 350$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.5 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68ff…997ebacked Over | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 31c | 160.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.17 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6746…70e1backed Over | 69c | 130.41$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.98 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 42c | 118.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 345 | 53.9%186 W · 159 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked Over | 59c | 105$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 72cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…760ebacked Over | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Over | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 51c | 97.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +15.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 32c | 88.73$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.45 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Over | 68c | 88.24$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9689…be06backed Under | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 33c | 56.87$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.37 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1415backed Over | 67c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 73c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82ed…a228backed Over | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Under | 26c | 42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.08 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 33c | 31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f6…fcd2backed Over | 67c | 29.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f6…4288backed Over | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 87%20 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.17per pick | 70cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Over | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd162…72aabacked Over | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Over | 65c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 74c | 17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hellas Verona FC vs. Pisa SC: O/U 1.5this page
- Hellas Verona FC vs. Pisa SC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Hellas Verona FC vs. Pisa SC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Hellas Verona FC vs. Pisa SC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Hellas Verona FC vs. Pisa SC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.