Serie A · resolved market
Hellas Verona FC vs. Pisa SC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x345e60c49e549a6d84ad172ef92bd129f96df8c82ca330b7570d421da72a09eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,231
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,430
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,231 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 56c | 1,546$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.09 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 131 | 37.4%49 W · 82 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 17c | 365$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.85 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 63c | 332.78$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.48 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 51c | 294.59$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 139 | 46%64 W · 75 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked No | 61c | 216.25$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.34 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd25e…f458backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6746…70e1backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Yes | 49c | 191.84$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 55c | 124.53$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.76 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 50c | 100.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf680…2c59backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 50c | 92.92$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.28 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 48c | 82.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x350e…bd56backed Yes | 51c | 78.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Yes | 49c | 75.51$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5562…3b41backed Yes | 50c | 69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab4c…2a53backed Yes | 50c | 67.64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.82 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 42cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc8…6875backed No | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e68…3215backed No | 51c | 52.16$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…65babacked Yes | 32c | 51.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed No | 52c | 49.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.99 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82ed…a228backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 142 | 31%44 W · 98 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…19fcbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked No | 54c | 30.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 46c | 25.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 78c | 22.84$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 48c | 22.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fb…6d42backed Yes | 49c | 20.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hellas Verona FC vs. Pisa SC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Hellas Verona FC vs. Pisa SC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Hellas Verona FC vs. Pisa SC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Hellas Verona FC vs. Pisa SC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Hellas Verona FC vs. Pisa SC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.