TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Liquid vs NIP (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-In

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Liquidof Liquid, NIP
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$508,440
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$591,536

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $508,440 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 447 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5877…d894backed Liquid46c59,999$27,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,399.437943%34 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba84…5044backed NIP58c46,553$27,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,000.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6adc…bebabacked Liquid46c46,167$21,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,811.7213633.1%45 W · 91 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked NIP58c42,571$24,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,509.5539249%192 W · 200 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked NIP52c40,880$21,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,098.463,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2fe8…3549backed NIP51c32,932$16,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,702.6913954.7%76 W · 63 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-2.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked NIP53c25,633$13,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,659.7432930.4%100 W · 229 L-21.9wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-50.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x001a…24b0backed Liquid42c24,517$10,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,220.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf599…81a6backed Liquid42c16,036$6,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,300.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fcf…48e1backed Liquid49c14,810$7,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,552.928749.4%43 W · 44 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed Liquid42c14,218$5,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,246.4425252.8%133 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed NIP53c13,494$7,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,205.7835153.8%189 W · 162 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed NIP54c13,427$7,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,246.2641649.8%207 W · 209 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed NIP54c12,129$6,583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,583.2772453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x699f…c3a9backed Liquid50c10,267$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,167.263652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed Liquid43c9,078$3,902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,176.1828453.5%152 W · 132 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Liquid42c8,386$3,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,863.8867041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0113…6f26backed NIP25c8,237$2,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,018.751656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed NIP57c7,141$4,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,036.6722849.6%113 W · 115 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed NIP56c6,500$3,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,614.9919455.2%107 W · 87 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcfde…3f9cbacked Liquid42c6,140$2,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,559.71650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked NIP33c6,108$2,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,018.481,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked NIP54c5,500$2,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,97021146%97 W · 114 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked NIP23c5,277$1,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,213.7642440.3%171 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ecf…645fbacked Liquid42c5,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,9001100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x382c…f8afbacked NIP58c5,000$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,90010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4925…a69abacked NIP15c4,435$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65010331.1%32 W · 71 L-0.3wins0.00per pick31cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3435…1913backed Liquid50c4,110$2,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,052.59954.5%54 W · 45 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed Liquid50c3,811$1,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,905.6676546.7%357 W · 408 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Liquid43c3,761$1,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,143.5746243.3%200 W · 262 L+1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbec7…5977backed Liquid43c3,671$1,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,092.4757647.6%274 W · 302 L-25.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ac3…66eabacked Liquid44c3,600$1,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,031.952466.7%16 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+24%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb4d…de5abacked NIP27c3,343$895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$894.924440.6%99 W · 145 L-12.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Liquid49c3,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,53097040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15fe…86bebacked Liquid42c2,946$1,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,708.2113646.3%63 W · 73 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed NIP54c2,888$1,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,561.292,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbdc3…c0eabacked Liquid48c2,877$1,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,496.08666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+44%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x961f…98f8backed Liquid44c2,851$1,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,596.48475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+34.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Liquid46c2,823$1,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,515.521,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked Liquid43c2,750$1,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,560.4917148%82 W · 89 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19ff…d0d0backed Liquid43c2,743$1,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,557.279234.8%32 W · 60 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f28…4c34backed NIP57c2,633$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500.281952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97f2…d84fbacked NIP35c2,591$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909.836953.6%37 W · 32 L+6.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Liquid45c2,569$1,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,412.957146.5%33 W · 38 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b1…19bbbacked Liquid77c2,558$1,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.325961%36 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6bd…b05abacked Liquid43c2,326$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,325.5819834.8%69 W · 129 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-21.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa69d…509bbacked Liquid44c2,280$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,279.9419757.4%113 W · 84 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf1b…dabdbacked NIP58c2,200$1,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,27610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c2…55c3backed NIP55c2,112$1,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,167.657642.1%32 W · 44 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3911…30f3backed Liquid44c2,009$891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,118.326251.1%134 W · 128 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2044…a0f7backed Liquid42c2,000$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1601100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7509…23afbacked NIP53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,059.991936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-37.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed NIP51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.991,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ca…3748backed Liquid54c1,982$1,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.3512450%62 W · 62 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed NIP41c1,937$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80096545.7%441 W · 524 L+10.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6395…d69dbacked NIP54c1,898$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,025.1511241.1%46 W · 66 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc609…7b6fbacked Liquid50c1,872$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.551181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.27per pick55cpaid+52.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x888d…2dd6backed NIP4c1,871$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.562119%4 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick16cpaid-21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked NIP54c1,852$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00023952.3%125 W · 114 L+14.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb525…bdc7backed Liquid47c1,706$808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$898.2925845.7%118 W · 140 L-18.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed NIP32c1,649$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.6555043.1%237 W · 313 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed NIP38c1,631$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62061338.2%234 W · 379 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Liquid50c1,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7509946.5%46 W · 53 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Liquid44c1,500$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84012150.4%61 W · 60 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3faa…0b90backed Liquid42c1,500$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8701100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2ec…2627backed NIP58c1,500$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x946d…e64bbacked Liquid42c1,500$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8701100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x778d…cbe2backed NIP54c1,494$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.763060%18 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4108…9e22backed NIP58c1,478$857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85711940.3%48 W · 71 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked NIP48c1,399$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.057,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x48de…95babacked Liquid47c1,345$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.1714744.2%65 W · 82 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8e…349fbacked Liquid67c1,344$902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.921361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Liquid47c1,317$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.7746949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd9d…3aaabacked NIP56c1,300$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-68%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x47e7…19a4backed NIP58c1,300$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Liquid42c1,190$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.483754.1%20 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a3c…38d3backed NIP55c1,185$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65424233.9%82 W · 160 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed NIP42c1,168$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.9316935.5%60 W · 109 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xffb4…0f4fbacked NIP54c1,155$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked NIP54c1,119$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.31,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed NIP53c1,115$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.7827348.4%132 W · 141 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked Liquid45c1,115$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.7526045%117 W · 143 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa558…1b44backed NIP55c1,100$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.996432.8%21 W · 43 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x17ed…c087backed Liquid73c1,090$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.383066.7%20 W · 10 L+3.9wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+21.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Liquid46c1,089$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.9181751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8287…059ebacked Liquid47c1,073$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.955853.4%31 W · 27 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf38b…b601backed Liquid47c1,071$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.793636.1%13 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed NIP57c1,036$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58810538.1%40 W · 65 L-8.5wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-23.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed Liquid43c1,036$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.5223852.9%126 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed Liquid50c1,024$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51212545.6%57 W · 68 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Liquid47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53046340.8%189 W · 274 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Liquid47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53081244.3%360 W · 452 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa996…8aacbacked NIP53c999.96$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed NIP50c970$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48510735.5%38 W · 69 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x862f…6f58backed Liquid76c947.37$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.37666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+97.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1393…ba33backed Liquid44c943.69$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.6716546.7%77 W · 88 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8b0…2aaebacked NIP54c925.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005451.9%28 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Liquid47c868$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.9339239.8%156 W · 236 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed NIP56c850$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.560848%292 W · 316 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Liquid44c834$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.3561754.8%338 W · 279 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.