TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Navy Midshipmen vs. Bucknell Bison

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Navy Midshipmenof Navy Midshipmen, Bucknell Bison
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$89,016
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$100,183

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,016 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xecfc…cd05backed Navy Midshipmen77c15,288$11,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,469.771,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Bucknell Bison23c13,100$3,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0137245.8%33 W · 39 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Navy Midshipmen76c7,162$5,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,726.92,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Bucknell Bison13c3,586$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.852,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7426…b4f5backed Bucknell Bison25c3,500$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$875333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-48.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2df8…4adbbacked Bucknell Bison32c3,500$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x029e…93a8backed Navy Midshipmen68c3,500$2,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1201100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Bucknell Bison12c3,267$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.255,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Bucknell Bison25c3,151$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.122,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x945b…27c7backed Bucknell Bison24c2,600$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc903…9f8fbacked Bucknell Bison25c2,400$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60030%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3cea…b12dbacked Bucknell Bison7c2,132$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.116023.3%14 W · 46 L-5.8wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-32.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3a53…cc07backed Bucknell Bison25c1,700$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4252250%11 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19f5…6092backed Navy Midshipmen75c1,700$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Navy Midshipmen76c1,672$1,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.82,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Bucknell Bison28c1,210$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.6225946.3%120 W · 139 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Bucknell Bison26c1,155$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61cd…528cbacked Navy Midshipmen75c1,100$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-55.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Bucknell Bison24c1,038$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.3412,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b26…e5edbacked Navy Midshipmen75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x440f…b7d8backed Navy Midshipmen76c999.99$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Bucknell Bison9c858.61$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.541,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Bucknell Bison11c806.52$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.864,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd5d…9a7fbacked Navy Midshipmen76c800$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd958…0e3cbacked Navy Midshipmen75c800$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2003100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+99.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b48…1769backed Navy Midshipmen75c800$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+48.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Bucknell Bison23c747.16$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.699045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Bucknell Bison22c730.68$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.751,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Navy Midshipmen77c601.99$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.5468254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Bucknell Bison24c600$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1441,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cd3…c333backed Navy Midshipmen75c600$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bcc…2077backed Navy Midshipmen75c600$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fe6…9982backed Navy Midshipmen75c600$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8013…5b52backed Bucknell Bison19c507.4$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.4115453.9%83 W · 71 L+16.8wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+19.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Bucknell Bison22c500$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.7681453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb9e5…eb6abacked Bucknell Bison10c489.91$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4815733.1%52 W · 105 L-10.9wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Bucknell Bison27c455.54$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.8342339.2%166 W · 257 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Bucknell Bison14c430.88$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.321,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bucknell Bison12c422.44$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.171,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb295…d1e7backed Bucknell Bison25c418.19$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.8218230.8%56 W · 126 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff0c…c3e4backed Navy Midshipmen76c400$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf680…63eabacked Navy Midshipmen75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-55.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe622…ea5ebacked Navy Midshipmen76c400$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9637142.6%158 W · 213 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa74c…afb1backed Navy Midshipmen76c400$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6e3…6dfebacked Bucknell Bison25c394.99$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.7527450%137 W · 137 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2344…6ba3backed Bucknell Bison12c377.4$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.67247.2%34 W · 38 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Bucknell Bison23c373.36$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.340755.8%227 W · 180 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Navy Midshipmen75c342.62$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.6574649.2%367 W · 379 L+1.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Bucknell Bison24c310.93$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.16549.2%32 W · 33 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Bucknell Bison15c309.71$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.073,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Bucknell Bison26c303.65$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.951,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Bucknell Bison27c283.59$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.6324340.7%99 W · 144 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa60…9b86backed Navy Midshipmen76c263.6$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.69769.1%67 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick69cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Navy Midshipmen74c262.83$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.2638345.4%174 W · 209 L-18.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Bucknell Bison12c260.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4799848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1aa…16cfbacked Navy Midshipmen77c259.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.747661.8%47 W · 29 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Bucknell Bison23c254$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.421,07447%505 W · 569 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Bucknell Bison12c241.83$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0119138.2%73 W · 118 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Navy Midshipmen78c241$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8944955.2%248 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62a1…6d59backed Bucknell Bison23c226.22$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.141145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+28.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Bucknell Bison26c218$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.6892246%424 W · 498 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Bucknell Bison23c210$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.391,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed Navy Midshipmen77c206.49$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.493327.3%9 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb1b…df01backed Bucknell Bison25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.71457.1%8 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.22per pick35cpaid+138.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6900…9a4bbacked Bucknell Bison24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481450%7 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+35.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfce0…ff19backed Bucknell Bison25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+30.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c1f…039dbacked Bucknell Bison24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+52.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3ca…e09dbacked Bucknell Bison25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbce…c3b4backed Bucknell Bison24c200$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.71442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x995a…9368backed Bucknell Bison23c200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-39.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa42c…5ebdbacked Bucknell Bison23c200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick32cpaid-30.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Bucknell Bison25c199.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Navy Midshipmen76c197.36$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.374,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Bucknell Bison11c192.88$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3594036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Bucknell Bison14c191.04$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.613,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Bucknell Bison27c180.19$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6544146.5%205 W · 236 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd0d…7606backed Bucknell Bison22c180.03$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402839.3%11 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Bucknell Bison28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5053635.6%191 W · 345 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7226…873dbacked Bucknell Bison16c170.54$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.065637.5%21 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-25.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe062…61fdbacked Bucknell Bison24c166.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403826.3%10 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid+118.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce31…19c4backed Bucknell Bison23c156.28$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.142030%6 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick22cpaid-9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Bucknell Bison23c151.43$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7829012.1%35 W · 255 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Bucknell Bison25c149.76$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.532,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Navy Midshipmen74c146.67$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4257655%317 W · 259 L+17.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x92c8…547fbacked Bucknell Bison12c140.48$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9856…f62fbacked Bucknell Bison26c137.96$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.87250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x313d…6f98backed Navy Midshipmen75c134$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.56767.2%45 W · 22 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Navy Midshipmen76c131.11$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1148462.8%304 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5562…3b41backed Navy Midshipmen75c131$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.866657.6%38 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5032…d300backed Bucknell Bison17c130.06$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61d1…a379backed Navy Midshipmen77c125.95$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.975457.4%31 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1215…2699backed Navy Midshipmen74c117.77$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.26250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-32.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe611…b0b4backed Bucknell Bison11c109.63$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0650%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Navy Midshipmen78c109$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.7118147%85 W · 96 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed Bucknell Bison23c108.75$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bcf…75c6backed Bucknell Bison23c108.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253745.9%17 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Bucknell Bison20c108$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.637441.7%156 W · 218 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x584d…d358backed Navy Midshipmen76c102.42$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.589264.1%59 W · 33 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cfc…cfdabacked Bucknell Bison23c101$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.23475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick52cpaid+31.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Bucknell Bison26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2682048.2%395 W · 425 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.