TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Navy Midshipmen vs. Bucknell Bison: O/U 134.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$159,509
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$160,149

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $159,509 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5c2b…2575backed Over51c80,000$40,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,199.9860949.8%303 W · 306 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe248…f293backed Under49c40,500$19,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,84578155.6%434 W · 347 L+38.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c7e…0f7abacked Under49c26,210$12,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,843.0723248.3%112 W · 120 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Under49c18,198$8,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,835.6735151.9%182 W · 169 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under49c15,972$7,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,766.331,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Over51c12,260$6,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,997.6112054.2%65 W · 55 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Over51c9,750$4,973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,777.523149.8%115 W · 116 L+14.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+38.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Over52c7,401$3,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,552.6410745.8%49 W · 58 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under47c6,724$3,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,173.1212,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Under48c6,250$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00014654.1%79 W · 67 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Over52c6,000$3,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,88027851.1%142 W · 136 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Over52c5,896$3,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,834.241752.5%219 W · 198 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Over52c5,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,399.9930139.2%118 W · 183 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Over51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,449.9911048.2%53 W · 57 L+0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5e0…461fbacked Under45c4,444$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under48c4,251$2,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,037.7974152.6%390 W · 351 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under49c3,061$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50035147.6%167 W · 184 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Under49c3,015$1,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,477.3589850%449 W · 449 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under46c2,985$1,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,376.835,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b9f…e125backed Over51c2,062$1,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,010.186758.2%39 W · 28 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Over52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96027947.3%132 W · 147 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8013…5b52backed Under49c1,958$959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.4215453.9%83 W · 71 L+16.8wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+19.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over26c1,204$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$891.865,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under49c1,114$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.6592246%424 W · 498 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e16…0127backed Under47c1,008$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.7613746.7%64 W · 73 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae8c…93cdbacked Under49c1,005$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.4511347.8%54 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9f8…e913backed Under48c937.5$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45025049.2%123 W · 127 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under48c833.33$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Under75c825.99$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.321,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Under49c816.33$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40055749.2%274 W · 283 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15f9…607ebacked Under49c629.98$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.6932146.7%150 W · 171 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x128a…a1b0backed Under49c612.52$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002250%11 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under49c607.51$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.6869350.4%349 W · 344 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under49c600$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29482048.2%395 W · 425 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Over55c547.21$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.2156444.1%249 W · 315 L+2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Under49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24532751.7%169 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under47c462.96$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.0599848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Under45c450.73$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.837245.8%33 W · 39 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68a9…e73abacked Over53c434.72$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.3226749.1%131 W · 136 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under48c421.52$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.2878052.2%407 W · 373 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Under48c400$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1921,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde1c…fb66backed Under49c381.63$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under46c380$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.7250548.9%247 W · 258 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Under49c313.68$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.724340.7%99 W · 144 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5425…f968backed Over53c301.87$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.874042.5%17 W · 23 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Under48c301.41$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.6821347.9%102 W · 111 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under47c270.13$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.993,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under71c243.73$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.611,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b2a…bc9bbacked Under48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003650%18 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed Under49c204.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007454.1%40 W · 34 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b1a…68d8backed Over53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6811957.1%68 W · 51 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Over53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.683542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd9b…fc27backed Under49c183.67$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Under45c167.4$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.3312846.9%60 W · 68 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1786…6974backed Over53c133.54$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.192138.1%8 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbbda…f10fbacked Over52c133.53$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.535100%5 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over27c132.71$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.883,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa548…1fd5backed Under49c126.53$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+35.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fb0…3182backed Under49c110.57$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.1841354%223 W · 190 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c24…b601backed Under48c106.38$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.06650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed Under48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017950.8%91 W · 88 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c9d…3e29backed Under48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028354.1%153 W · 130 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4789146.2%412 W · 479 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Under73c100$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ce5…3e52backed Under56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b15…fa73backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5038351.7%198 W · 185 L+0.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Under46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4629442.9%126 W · 168 L-11.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under46c99.97$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.9950546.9%237 W · 268 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4794…d6e5backed Under48c91.67$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Over53c85.68$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.2713350.4%67 W · 66 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53fc…d6fabacked Under48c52.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2550%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xac3f…1966backed Under49c49$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0125152.6%132 W · 119 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0642…8c68backed Under48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016746.1%77 W · 90 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Under48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2031057.4%178 W · 132 L+11.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa70d…6c5ebacked Under49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25e7…51d6backed Over51c39.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.411566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+19.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Over52c38.69$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5711250%56 W · 56 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16bd…515fbacked Over53c37.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.692653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9487…54bbbacked Under45c33.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1536248.6%176 W · 186 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13f3…12ffbacked Over53c32.55$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.32755.6%15 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over47c32.08$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.157335.6%204 W · 369 L-27.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ba2…8f7cbacked Under48c31.7$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.227844.9%35 W · 43 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Over52c30.76$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7610043%43 W · 57 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c46…c777backed Over53c28.28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.29650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9aa…089dbacked Over53c27.38$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.81757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+32.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e4a…7045backed Over52c25.76$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.315261.5%32 W · 20 L+5.5wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8df1…799abacked Under76c24.66$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.