Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Navy Midshipmen (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11f10eb27f979a309bf1febbc4883faa9eee29b950150dcd04c5dd0e4c5db258
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Navy Midshipmenof Navy Midshipmen, Bucknell Bison
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,102
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,050
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,102 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Navy Midshipmen | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,879.99 | 351 | 51.9%182 W · 169 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Bucknell Bison | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,549.99 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Bucknell Bison | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,549.99 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Navy Midshipmen | 49c | 2,095$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.45 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Navy Midshipmen | 49c | 1,839$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.13 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Bucknell Bison | 48c | 1,666$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.68 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Navy Midshipmen | 49c | 912.66$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.46 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Navy Midshipmen | 49c | 870$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.7 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Navy Midshipmen | 49c | 802$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.02 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Bucknell Bison | 48c | 597.25$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.68 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Navy Midshipmen | 49c | 438.94$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.86 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Navy Midshipmen | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Navy Midshipmen | 49c | 263.84$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.56 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce1…b62cbacked Navy Midshipmen | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Bucknell Bison | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Navy Midshipmen | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Bucknell Bison | 52c | 174.78$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.79 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked Navy Midshipmen | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b15…f827backed Navy Midshipmen | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Navy Midshipmen | 49c | 87.03$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.39 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9aa…089dbacked Bucknell Bison | 52c | 37.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2142…e744backed Navy Midshipmen | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Bucknell Bison | 48c | 29.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc12…05f2backed Navy Midshipmen | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Navy Midshipmen (-6.5)this page
- Navy Midshipmen vs. Bucknell BisonNavy Midshipmen won
- Navy Midshipmen vs. Bucknell Bison: O/U 134.5Over won
- Spread: Navy Midshipmen (-7.5)Navy Midshipmen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.