Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Etcheverry (-1.5) vs Tabilo (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8ff8a1dbcb7bab2ad3807d4ac5fd82d20a1a4ad281e6943f64839cbb38a695c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tabiloof Etcheverry, Tabilo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,364
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,122
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,364 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc9aa…67e1backed Etcheverry | 54c | 2,000$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.24 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5d…4183backed Tabilo | 65c | 1,223$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.92 | 142 | 50.7%72 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Etcheverry | 35c | 713$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.55 | 289 | 33.2%96 W · 193 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85ae…5399backed Tabilo | 46c | 593.48$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.48 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55fc…8b73backed Tabilo | 46c | 543.48$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.48 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Etcheverry | 34c | 519.91$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.71 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd571…9f0abacked Tabilo | 46c | 376.09$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.09 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb3…380ebacked Tabilo | 46c | 219.3$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.42 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Tabilo | 61c | 167.81$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.9 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6133…9613backed Tabilo | 46c | 121$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.34 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Etcheverry | 37c | 69.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 373 | 39.1%146 W · 227 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b14…13dcbacked Tabilo | 46c | 55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…600ebacked Tabilo | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Tabilo | 64c | 47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3207…86d9backed Tabilo | 46c | 45.65$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Tabilo | 51c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Etcheverry (-1.5) vs Tabilo (+1.5)this page
- Argentina Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tomas EtcheverryEtcheverry won
- Set 1 Winner: Tabilo vs EtcheverryTabilo won
- Tabilo vs. Etcheverry: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Tabilo vs. Etcheverry: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.