Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Wadadaa vs Maui Wowie (BO3) - VCT Game Changers North America Kickoff Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a5793d4a0f0998abe6351c29555602f7d33bdb94a6bd6fd339f5bb795b7b65e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wadadaaof Wadadaa, Maui Wowie
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,032
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,777
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,032 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Maui Wowie | 14c | 2,394$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.25 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Maui Wowie | 12c | 2,107$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.85 | 321 | 41.7%134 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Maui Wowie | 12c | 1,565$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.8 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Maui Wowie | 12c | 1,150$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Maui Wowie | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe06…d5d5backed Maui Wowie | 12c | 841.26$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.95 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6c…744ebacked Maui Wowie | 14c | 717.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e03…c1c8backed Maui Wowie | 11c | 536.75$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.71 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -59%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…cd7bbacked Maui Wowie | 14c | 490.11$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.82 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +122.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Maui Wowie | 15c | 438.53$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.78 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed Maui Wowie | 11c | 408.34$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.92 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Maui Wowie | 14c | 404.67$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.32 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3c…3293backed Maui Wowie | 14c | 400$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…1a20backed Maui Wowie | 12c | 381.66$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.06 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Maui Wowie | 14c | 314.29$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…2224backed Maui Wowie | 15c | 246.67$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +35%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…0b73backed Maui Wowie | 15c | 246$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b14…13dcbacked Maui Wowie | 12c | 210$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 31cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a1…4dbdbacked Maui Wowie | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…7b70backed Maui Wowie | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6d…71b4backed Maui Wowie | 12c | 158.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…fba6backed Maui Wowie | 15c | 148$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Maui Wowie | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 150 | 42%63 W · 87 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Maui Wowie | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 257 | 45.9%118 W · 139 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Maui Wowie | 14c | 92.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9b…71f8backed Maui Wowie | 13c | 87.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.