NHL · resolved market
KHL: HC Sochi vs. Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc19f893a344fdf4820bb51d9243be2e8bf7cef0f98c6e29ff823a46f96bcccd8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lokomotiv Yaroslavlof HC Sochi, Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,983
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,213
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,983 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed HC Sochi | 27c | 1,051$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.23 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -9.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…af00backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 72c | 889$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.92 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33d0…f7ebbacked HC Sochi | 22c | 458.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed HC Sochi | 20c | 419$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.58 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 76c | 365$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.01 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe630…5d81backed HC Sochi | 19c | 333.37$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -59%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed HC Sochi | 34c | 240$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.18 | 421 | 44.4%187 W · 234 L | -28.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 66c | 240$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.6 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +6.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +35%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 78c | 224$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.28 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fe…e78cbacked HC Sochi | 19c | 186.84$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 80c | 99.9$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked HC Sochi | 19c | 97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 179 | 40.2%72 W · 107 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b14…13dcbacked HC Sochi | 18c | 90.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed HC Sochi | 17c | 87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked HC Sochi | 23c | 72.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked HC Sochi | 19c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 234 | 50%117 W · 117 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 77c | 49$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 315 | 40.3%127 W · 188 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 74c | 47.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47e3…7b48backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf77c…61cabacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 80c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -45%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…1f33backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 79c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.