Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will SC Braga win on 2026-02-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3fea0f73ec6e1bca07b5e1134183dc9fc38f4dedaae0ec71f352b90e5aa8b038
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,821
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,715
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,821 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf975…4354backed No | 9c | 8,000$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.79 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 15c | 3,768$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.56 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed No | 9c | 1,005$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.53 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 16c | 810.77$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.19 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 11c | 770.8$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.48 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked No | 9c | 400$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 86 | 19.8%17 W · 69 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 8c | 346$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.23 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 10c | 270$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed No | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 105 | 24.8%26 W · 79 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 76c | 191.32$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.35 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 18c | 163.22$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.38 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 22c | 149.43$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 570 | 19.8%113 W · 457 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Yes | 69c | 141.12$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 15c | 133$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b14…13dcbacked No | 19c | 129.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed No | 17c | 112$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…9706backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee4…4b3ebacked No | 20c | 92.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 79c | 72.56$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcea2…8ea7backed No | 21c | 71.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 19c | 71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed Yes | 74c | 64.5$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 216 | 44.4%96 W · 120 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b7…68a2backed No | 19c | 59.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 30cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Yes | 78c | 22.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81bb…8544backed Yes | 77c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb58c…5fc5backed Yes | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Braga win on 2026-02-08?this page
- Will Rio Ave FC win on 2026-02-08?No won
- Will SC Braga vs. Rio Ave FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.