Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: S2G (-1.5) vs PCIFIC (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6a2d75e9569d7c5c79d6c01ffd157e69ed0023850fc7b98d4fe0f6c05bfde5b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- S2G Esportsof S2G Esports, PCIFIC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,689
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,719
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,689 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed S2G Esports | 71c | 12,051$8,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,481.82 | 403 | 70.2%283 W · 120 L | +31.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed PCIFIC | 29c | 4,852$1,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,407.14 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed PCIFIC | 0c | 3,736$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed PCIFIC | 29c | 1,364$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.78 | 291 | 43.3%126 W · 165 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed PCIFIC | 29c | 1,111$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.19 | 198 | 44.9%89 W · 109 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…608dbacked PCIFIC | 30c | 790$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed PCIFIC | 29c | 765.4$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.97 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed PCIFIC | 27c | 692.59$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…4b30backed PCIFIC | 29c | 600$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d63…8b8cbacked PCIFIC | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed S2G Esports | 72c | 351.56$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.04 | 171 | 36.3%62 W · 109 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb8…71f0backed PCIFIC | 29c | 213.34$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.87 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked PCIFIC | 27c | 150$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaee3…9a19backed PCIFIC | 29c | 147.45$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.76 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked PCIFIC | 29c | 140$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 123 | 33.3%41 W · 82 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce7f…9bd0backed PCIFIC | 29c | 137.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6bc…d324backed PCIFIC | 30c | 136.16$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +52%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x520e…d75abacked PCIFIC | 26c | 113$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.38 | 288 | 37.5%108 W · 180 L | -16.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…0b73backed PCIFIC | 28c | 103.08$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d20…ca2abacked PCIFIC | 29c | 100.4$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x575f…7febbacked PCIFIC | 30c | 90$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b14…13dcbacked PCIFIC | 29c | 90$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5540…9c18backed PCIFIC | 29c | 82.07$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed PCIFIC | 29c | 80$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…417cbacked PCIFIC | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -5.5wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed PCIFIC | 30c | 56.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 193 | 39.9%77 W · 116 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddae…7d66backed S2G Esports | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04b…386bbacked S2G Esports | 79c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: S2G (-1.5) vs PCIFIC (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: S2G Esports vs PCIFIC (BO3) - TCL PlayoffsS2G Esports won
- LoL: S2G Esports vs PCIFIC - Game 1 WinnerS2G Esports won
- LoL: S2G Esports vs PCIFIC - Game 2 WinnerS2G Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.