Lol · resolved market
LoL: S2G Esports vs PCIFIC - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x538ad08307a3842bfc33e33b1a71a2182295d7cb3c4011cc0c9b6c5c52e0516f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- S2G Esportsof S2G Esports, PCIFIC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,187
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,738
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,187 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked PCIFIC | 16c | 3,873$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.51 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed PCIFIC | 1c | 3,805$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.53 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked PCIFIC | 17c | 3,224$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.93 | 759 | 42%319 W · 440 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x117a…01babacked PCIFIC | 17c | 1,647$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed PCIFIC | 17c | 1,500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c9…c834backed PCIFIC | 17c | 1,412$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64ee…26babacked PCIFIC | 6c | 645.63$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.11 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed PCIFIC | 16c | 550$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 120 | 35.8%43 W · 77 L | -12.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4e37…e36cbacked PCIFIC | 17c | 529.41$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed PCIFIC | 17c | 456.3$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.33 | 427 | 35.4%151 W · 276 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked PCIFIC | 23c | 400$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 390 | 44.9%175 W · 215 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33f3…d80abacked PCIFIC | 3c | 391.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 59 | 8.5%5 W · 54 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5b…6c2abacked PCIFIC | 17c | 378$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.26 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -4.5wins | -0.21per pick | 40cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked PCIFIC | 17c | 352.1$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.86 | 163 | 25.2%41 W · 122 L | -15.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d63…8b8cbacked PCIFIC | 17c | 349.41$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1a…e46ebacked PCIFIC | 17c | 264.71$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed PCIFIC | 20c | 260.88$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.1 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed PCIFIC | 16c | 221.88$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 219 | 43.8%96 W · 123 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce66…59c4backed PCIFIC | 15c | 207.44$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6af…4619backed PCIFIC | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked PCIFIC | 18c | 177.78$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd572…5510backed PCIFIC | 15c | 169.41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed PCIFIC | 22c | 153$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.29 | 151 | 53.6%81 W · 70 L | +17.3wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked PCIFIC | 17c | 150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b14…13dcbacked PCIFIC | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40a1…d943backed PCIFIC | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee1…f616backed PCIFIC | 15c | 117.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9d…1fbfbacked PCIFIC | 11c | 103.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x520e…d75abacked PCIFIC | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 288 | 37.5%108 W · 180 L | -16.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…3326backed PCIFIC | 17c | 63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 164 | 52.4%86 W · 78 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0588…8f18backed S2G Esports | 70c | 53.33$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 250 | 38%95 W · 155 L | +20.2wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…07b0backed PCIFIC | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 194 | 54.6%106 W · 88 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked PCIFIC | 26c | 46.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 1,536 | 62.6%961 W · 575 L | +157.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…2b66backed S2G Esports | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: S2G Esports vs PCIFIC - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: S2G (-1.5) vs PCIFIC (+1.5)S2G Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: S2G Esports vs PCIFIC (BO3) - TCL PlayoffsS2G Esports won
- LoL: S2G Esports vs PCIFIC - Game 2 WinnerS2G Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.