Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goals

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8950eeda3e6db1b0d1719342c0a508bc81ae34f9832de017953a445f8cff9abc

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 26, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $153,735
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $153,348

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $153,735 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 242 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2c33…0563backed No	79c	55,808$44,077 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,731.18	747	52.2%390 W · 357 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3f2f…be86backed Yes	21c	11,000$2,310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,310	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+2.7wins	+0.18per pick	42cpaid	+36.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No	79c	10,000$7,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,099.97	744	47.8%356 W · 388 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb29…947abacked No	79c	8,423$6,674 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,749.43	188	43.1%81 W · 107 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed No	80c	8,222$6,548 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,674.71	464	64.9%301 W · 163 L	+26.6wins	+0.06per pick	59cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd34a…78c7backed Yes	21c	7,143$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	137	21.2%29 W · 108 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+27.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed No	80c	7,000$5,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,400	192	52.1%100 W · 92 L	+10.7wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	21c	6,150$1,309 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,308.65	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No	80c	6,045$4,831 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,213.85	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Yes	22c	6,000$1,320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,320	361	23.5%85 W · 276 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x18e6…d83dbacked Yes	20c	5,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	126	16.7%21 W · 105 L	-12.6wins	-0.10per pick	27cpaid	-53.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4715…6efbbacked Yes	21c	4,948$1,016 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,016	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	+4.3wins	+0.13per pick	29cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xafac…8730backed Yes	15c	4,936$740 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$740	92	19.6%18 W · 74 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x62e0…32dfbacked Yes	15c	4,642$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	173	45.1%78 W · 95 L	+11.1wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf695…409fbacked Yes	21c	4,628$972 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$971.87	62	21%13 W · 49 L	-7.9wins	-0.13per pick	34cpaid	-57.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x50f0…5355backed Yes	21c	4,386$921 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$921	38	44.7%17 W · 21 L	+3.2wins	+0.08per pick	36cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1f7…c8e4backed Yes	16c	3,978$635 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$635.42	105	42.9%45 W · 60 L	+4.8wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x89cb…4fd8backed Yes	20c	3,573$717 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$716.64	41	34.1%14 W · 27 L	+3.1wins	+0.08per pick	27cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes	9c	3,020$283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$283.34	72	41.7%30 W · 42 L	+4.9wins	+0.07per pick	35cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No	79c	2,687$2,135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$551.85	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0e3…29ebbacked No	80c	2,530$2,024 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$506.05	131	63.4%83 W · 48 L	+8.1wins	+0.06per pick	57cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ae1…378fbacked Yes	20c	2,400$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480	189	29.1%55 W · 134 L	-9.4wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fa9…7633backed Yes	21c	2,381$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	168	25.6%43 W · 125 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-17%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked No	80c	2,222$1,778 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$444.4	342	49.1%168 W · 174 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+33.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd029…6253backed Yes	5c	2,157$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.47	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x696a…e23abacked No	80c	2,000$1,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$400	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-2.5wins	-0.17per pick	57cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7434…2ff4backed Yes	21c	1,819$382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$382	78	35.9%28 W · 50 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x238c…57b1backed Yes	21c	1,667$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	53	56.6%30 W · 23 L	+3.7wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x886f…5e20backed Yes	21c	1,667$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	60	33.3%20 W · 40 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55cb…275abacked Yes	20c	1,600$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320	103	8.7%9 W · 94 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-44%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed Yes	20c	1,438$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$292	423	36.9%156 W · 267 L	-5.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8783…db0cbacked Yes	36c	1,315$471 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$471.45	193	42%81 W · 112 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes	21c	1,279$269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$268.54	224	48.2%108 W · 116 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes	20c	1,209$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$241.75	148	52.7%78 W · 70 L	+10.7wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0b57…5d9abacked Yes	19c	1,179$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224	81	56.8%46 W · 35 L	+2.9wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51b7…df15backed Yes	21c	952.38$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.8wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3058…7767backed Yes	20c	950$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-2.2wins	-0.17per pick	40cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked No	79c	916.25$724 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192.41	159	50.3%80 W · 79 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8de4…a68fbacked Yes	22c	909.09$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	68	48.5%33 W · 35 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked No	78c	895.33$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$195.39	97	67%65 W · 32 L	+4.3wins	+0.04per pick	63cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x860d…5648backed Yes	23c	882.6$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202	142	44.4%63 W · 79 L	+7.1wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd169…8ff6backed Yes	21c	833.33$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175	172	41.3%71 W · 101 L	+6.3wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x61e7…afddbacked Yes	7c	827.08$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.24	40	20%8 W · 32 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Yes	20c	750$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	372	23.9%89 W · 283 L	-9.9wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x341f…0442backed Yes	17c	722.22$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	150	20%30 W · 120 L	+5.7wins	+0.04per pick	16cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd26b…b09fbacked Yes	7c	721.71$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.73	357	14%50 W · 307 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a34…c216backed Yes	21c	714.29$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	87	31%27 W · 60 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0754…4955backed Yes	26c	633.1$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.78	29	20.7%6 W · 23 L	-3.5wins	-0.12per pick	33cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf984…24cebacked Yes	21c	625.81$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.42	103	31.1%32 W · 71 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcfe6…6049backed Yes	21c	595.24$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	113	16.8%19 W · 94 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6df…83a0backed Yes	8c	565.28$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe04b…3ec7backed Yes	19c	526.32$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	27	11.1%3 W · 24 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44f9…992abacked Yes	19c	526.32$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	33	15.2%5 W · 28 L	-3.0wins	-0.09per pick	24cpaid	-60.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1345…8f0bbacked Yes	21c	523.81$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	125	14.4%18 W · 107 L	+4.9wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2682…4997backed Yes	19c	522.23$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-3.8wins	-0.20per pick	41cpaid	-60.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd35b…4a53backed Yes	21c	513.8$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.9	79	15.2%12 W · 67 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x817a…389ebacked Yes	20c	500$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	+13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa990…9260backed Yes	20c	500$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	24	12.5%3 W · 21 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ab…178dbacked Yes	8c	499.99$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	198	23.7%47 W · 151 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	22cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd61f…c6a6backed No	79c	499.97$395 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.99	128	75.8%97 W · 31 L	+7.6wins	+0.06per pick	70cpaid	+8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes	20c	496.14$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.23	331	49.5%164 W · 167 L	+9.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x63cf…94ddbacked Yes	21c	476.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	104	42.3%44 W · 60 L	-4.7wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b75…6bb0backed Yes	21c	476.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	123	32.5%40 W · 83 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb47b…c6b1backed Yes	21c	476.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	124	41.9%52 W · 72 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8a70…0519backed Yes	21c	476.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	61	16.4%10 W · 51 L	-5.6wins	-0.09per pick	26cpaid	-51.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No	79c	466.3$370 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.06	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb75c…b6d3backed Yes	20c	450$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	30	50%15 W · 15 L	+2.9wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x11d1…0b41backed Yes	21c	420$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.2	463	19.9%92 W · 371 L	-8.8wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc008…cbe7backed Yes	10c	407.12$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c44…ce0cbacked Yes	21c	355$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.55	45	33.3%15 W · 30 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f65…a0adbacked Yes	18c	349.99$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62	239	50.2%120 W · 119 L	+6.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No	69c	344.29$237 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.94	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6c5…6f9cbacked Yes	29c	339.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	130	21.5%28 W · 102 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd255…bbcabacked Yes	8c	336.14$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	87	11.5%10 W · 77 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9253…0baebacked Yes	21c	333.33$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	80	55%44 W · 36 L	+2.8wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e22…9fa5backed Yes	21c	333.33$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	318	9.4%30 W · 288 L	-7.4wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d4c…cdb1backed Yes	11c	320$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.4	49	12.2%6 W · 43 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb22…9006backed Yes	29c	310.34$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	36cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7879…822abacked Yes	21c	309.52$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	63	31.7%20 W · 43 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf029…a292backed Yes	19c	294.41$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	99	42.4%42 W · 57 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9be9…aab9backed Yes	33c	280$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.3	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	-1.6wins	-0.08per pick	19cpaid	-69.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x189e…64c3backed Yes	20c	279.45$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	50	22%11 W · 39 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x19a5…40abbacked Yes	27c	262.72$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	57	33.3%19 W · 38 L	-2.7wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37d9…5442backed Yes	21c	261.9$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	314	35.7%112 W · 202 L	-11.2wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-16%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e8e…0be0backed Yes	20c	250.6$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	25	40%10 W · 15 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0195…1e21backed Yes	20c	250$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	441	44%194 W · 247 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf6e2…2e0abacked Yes	24c	249.6$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	204	51.5%105 W · 99 L	+6.2wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05ab…bf47backed Yes	20c	241.2$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.24	135	43.7%59 W · 76 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed No	80c	240$191 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.2	1,421	47.8%679 W · 742 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1306…c689backed Yes	21c	238.1$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	156	45.5%71 W · 85 L	+9.3wins	+0.06per pick	40cpaid	+10%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x155d…3ec8backed Yes	21c	238.1$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	255	32.9%84 W · 171 L	-4.8wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x494e…d3dbbacked Yes	21c	238.1$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	389	24.4%95 W · 294 L	+7.0wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a68…ad4cbacked Yes	21c	238.1$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	41	19.5%8 W · 33 L	-2.7wins	-0.07per pick	26cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x157e…2efbbacked Yes	21c	238.1$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	33	54.5%18 W · 15 L	+1.7wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a30…7b6cbacked Yes	21c	238.1$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	+3.3wins	+0.14per pick	28cpaid	+112.2%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x056e…14afbacked Yes	21c	238.1$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	92	14.1%13 W · 79 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7859…043bbacked Yes	21c	234.67$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.28	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	-3.3wins	-0.18per pick	33cpaid	-52.5%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5ba6…ab05backed Yes	21c	231.43$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.6	68	30.9%21 W · 47 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf94f…0cc8backed Yes	22c	227.27$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	146	41.1%60 W · 86 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x827a…a12bbacked Yes	22c	227.27$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	83	26.5%22 W · 61 L	-3.8wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 51 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsthis page
Bradley Barcola: 1+ goalsNo won
Bradley Barcola: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Désiré Doué: 1+ assistsNo won
Désiré Doué: 1+ goalsYes won
Désiré Doué: 1+ shotsYes won
Désiré Doué: 2+ goalsNo won
Désiré Doué: 3+ goalsNo won
Désiré Doué: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Erling Haaland: 1+ assistsNo won
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsNo won
Erling Haaland: 1+ goals + assistsNo won
Erling Haaland: 1+ shotsNo won
Erling Haaland: 2+ goalsNo won
Erling Haaland: 2+ shotsNo won
Erling Haaland: 3+ goalsNo won
Jean-Philippe Mateta: 3+ goalsNo won
Jean-Philippe Mateta: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Jørgen Strand Larsen: 1+ goalsNo won
Jørgen Strand Larsen: 1+ goals + assistsNo won
Jørgen Strand Larsen: 1+ shotsYes won
Jørgen Strand Larsen: 2+ goalsNo won
Jørgen Strand Larsen: 2+ shotsYes won
Jørgen Strand Larsen: 3+ goalsNo won
Jørgen Strand Larsen: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ assistsYes won
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsNo won
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ assistsYes won
Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goalsNo won
Maghnes Akliouche: 3+ goalsNo won
Maghnes Akliouche: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Marcus Thuram: 1+ assistsNo won
Marcus Thuram: 3+ goalsNo won
Marcus Thuram: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Michael Olise: 1+ assistsNo won
Michael Olise: 1+ goalsNo won
Michael Olise: 1+ shotsYes won
Michael Olise: 2+ assistsNo won
Michael Olise: 2+ goalsNo won
Michael Olise: 3+ goalsNo won
Michael Olise: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ assistsNo won
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goalsYes won
Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ assistsNo won
Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ goalsYes won
Ousmane Dembélé: 3+ goalsYes won
Ousmane Dembélé: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Rayan Cherki: 1+ goalsNo won
Rayan Cherki: 3+ goalsNo won
Rayan Cherki: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Thelo Aasgaard: 1+ goalsYes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goals

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event