Fifa International · resolved market
Erling Haaland: 1+ shots
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d690377b4b67867ec3f59c900fcbe615999805ef6835c14bc220bea0779d5a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,211
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,670
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,211 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0e9…67ffbacked No | 37c | 6,917$2,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,340.46 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc452…7234backed Yes | 69c | 4,820$3,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,320.84 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2e…05a6backed Yes | 45c | 1,714$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.06 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13b4…5bb3backed Yes | 68c | 1,713$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.56 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.5wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked Yes | 26c | 1,415$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.26 | 327 | 65.7%215 W · 112 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05f0…2469backed No | 71c | 1,236$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.05 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x124b…bd60backed Yes | 35c | 918.37$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.77 | 90 | 78.9%71 W · 19 L | +18.9wins | +0.21per pick | 58cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…f240backed Yes | 76c | 803.46$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.21 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc968…d3cfbacked No | 67c | 638.46$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f10…ce60backed No | 50c | 581.73$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.18 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked No | 52c | 533.81$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.33 | 160 | 65%104 W · 56 L | +16.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked No | 17c | 516.71$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.93 | 343 | 57.7%198 W · 145 L | +26.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 19c | 409.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.89 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7920…5085backed No | 78c | 381.26$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b56…ef7cbacked Yes | 68c | 316.41$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.16 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed Yes | 64c | 314.96$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 44c | 307.92$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.67 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Yes | 72c | 303.43$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.35 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7c…4c16backed Yes | 52c | 295.79$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.15 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1597…1f25backed Yes | 68c | 289.29$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.72 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed No | 60c | 281.21$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.68 | 350 | 33.7%118 W · 232 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfa…b4e9backed No | 67c | 223.88$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 54c | 213.27$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.14 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked No | 27c | 192.08$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.48 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc499…f793backed Yes | 39c | 170$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.5 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcc…e74cbacked Yes | 69c | 161.24$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.77 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff88…601dbacked Yes | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | +11.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +30%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…85b2backed Yes | 69c | 145.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8731…fe2dbacked Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95c5…d5d3backed Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…a53cbacked Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x635a…8439backed Yes | 68c | 143.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.29 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7014…41eebacked No | 33c | 138.71$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.35 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +7.4wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd38c…371ebacked Yes | 38c | 104.62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 201 | 33.8%68 W · 133 L | +14.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked No | 41c | 99.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…8973backed Yes | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 59 | 66.1%39 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 31c | 92.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.23 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e3…e0e9backed No | 59c | 85.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.31 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -27%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 47c | 83.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Yes | 31c | 80.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.06 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c86…6a80backed Yes | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 148 | 39.9%59 W · 89 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…788abacked Yes | 38c | 68.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…0566backed No | 78c | 65.32$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.32 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ca…2f70backed No | 58c | 60.78$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.78 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa87d…e4bfbacked Yes | 51c | 60.32$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.76 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +86%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x760d…0786backed Yes | 43c | 59.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.09 | 145 | 57.9%84 W · 61 L | +12.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…5805backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 156 | 35.9%56 W · 100 L | -12.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c96…5099backed Yes | 53c | 50.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 240 | 50%120 W · 120 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9564…d89abacked No | 59c | 50.89$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.89 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.22per pick | 32cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9415…d850backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ac…40d1backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 33c | 47.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.08 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d2…7ad6backed No | 37c | 47.4$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.86 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf00c…34c7backed Yes | 37c | 45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 23c | 43.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.76 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed No | 35c | 41.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.29 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c65…b9eebacked No | 50c | 39.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.08 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1810…a73ebacked Yes | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Yes | 32c | 36.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +9.8wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x97a8…13a5backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 154 | 32.5%50 W · 104 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf96b…9c4cbacked Yes | 33c | 33.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +21.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x85e6…8431backed Yes | 69c | 32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe26b…a9ecbacked No | 58c | 31.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +8.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…e4f8backed Yes | 49c | 30.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6680…7df0backed Yes | 50c | 30.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7eb…a668backed Yes | 69c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 68 | 72.1%49 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x257d…6f86backed No | 49c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa393…2dd6backed Yes | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -4.6wins | -0.21per pick | 30cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd2…299cbacked Yes | 67c | 17.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07c1…f3e2backed Yes | 61c | 17.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe397…7a7ebacked Yes | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 51 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Erling Haaland: 1+ shotsthis page
- Bradley Barcola: 1+ goalsNo won
- Bradley Barcola: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 1+ assistsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 1+ goalsYes won
- Désiré Doué: 1+ shotsYes won
- Désiré Doué: 2+ goalsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 3+ goalsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 1+ assistsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 1+ goals + assistsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 2+ goalsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 2+ shotsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 3+ goalsNo won
- Jean-Philippe Mateta: 3+ goalsNo won
- Jean-Philippe Mateta: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Jørgen Strand Larsen: 1+ goalsNo won
- Jørgen Strand Larsen: 1+ goals + assistsNo won
- Jørgen Strand Larsen: 1+ shotsYes won
- Jørgen Strand Larsen: 2+ goalsNo won
- Jørgen Strand Larsen: 2+ shotsYes won
- Jørgen Strand Larsen: 3+ goalsNo won
- Jørgen Strand Larsen: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 1+ assistsYes won
- Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 2+ assistsYes won
- Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goalsNo won
- Maghnes Akliouche: 3+ goalsNo won
- Maghnes Akliouche: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Marcus Thuram: 1+ assistsNo won
- Marcus Thuram: 3+ goalsNo won
- Marcus Thuram: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Michael Olise: 1+ assistsNo won
- Michael Olise: 1+ goalsNo won
- Michael Olise: 1+ shotsYes won
- Michael Olise: 2+ assistsNo won
- Michael Olise: 2+ goalsNo won
- Michael Olise: 3+ goalsNo won
- Michael Olise: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ assistsNo won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goalsYes won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ assistsNo won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ goalsYes won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 3+ goalsYes won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Rayan Cherki: 1+ goalsNo won
- Rayan Cherki: 3+ goalsNo won
- Rayan Cherki: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Thelo Aasgaard: 1+ goalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.