Fifa International · resolved market
Erling Haaland: 2+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2fce94573d64ba6e2a6174bc55c7e3c2fadde6e71b7ccd64d1df133289e61460
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,007
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,149
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,007 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa87d…e4bfbacked Yes | 9c | 11,000$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.7 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +86%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 9c | 7,048$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.97 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa584…f829backed Yes | 4c | 3,063$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.99 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9337…a410backed Yes | 2c | 2,500$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.1 | 118 | 11.9%14 W · 104 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 4c | 2,442$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.48 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf83c…e423backed Yes | 5c | 1,960$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4715…6efbbacked Yes | 10c | 1,755$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…9c27backed Yes | 16c | 1,549$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…822abacked Yes | 11c | 1,338$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5f…1695backed Yes | 13c | 1,168$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 372 | 23.9%89 W · 283 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09b2…a017backed Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 98 | 19.4%19 W · 79 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +146.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587c…9c4ebacked Yes | 13c | 817.54$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.28 | 100 | 19%19 W · 81 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…7de2backed Yes | 5c | 725.4$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.27 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…aa04backed Yes | 6c | 712.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x443a…ba14backed Yes | 15c | 700$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 62 | 14.5%9 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…1f04backed Yes | 8c | 645.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa59d…3c90backed Yes | 9c | 541.48$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…e560backed Yes | 10c | 525.46$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.82 | 423 | 36.9%156 W · 267 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…9260backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 4c | 462.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f9…992abacked Yes | 13c | 461.54$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e0…4983backed Yes | 13c | 438.46$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefe…9128backed Yes | 5c | 434.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f69…f76dbacked Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e3…e0e9backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -27%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8164…df78backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb67…b610backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 7c | 353.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4740…fa66backed Yes | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 203 | 25.6%52 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 6c | 282.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…64c3backed Yes | 13c | 269.23$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 5c | 223.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ce…984bbacked Yes | 5c | 220$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -83%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb2…996cbacked Yes | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…a095backed Yes | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0326…3daebacked Yes | 12c | 201$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 190 | 31.6%60 W · 130 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x935d…9404backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 157 | 19.1%30 W · 127 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c1…489fbacked Yes | 13c | 167.87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6189…8f69backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa82e…67d2backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e2…2e0abacked Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 204 | 51.5%105 W · 99 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce05…9176backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3607…c427backed Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 138 | 33.3%46 W · 92 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe610…fd5dbacked Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x745e…964bbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e79…9076backed Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ad…2161backed Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 145 | 26.2%38 W · 107 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a5b…4b2ebacked Yes | 13c | 109.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb816…ea74backed Yes | 19c | 107.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cc…2e39backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 102 | 65.7%67 W · 35 L | +11.2wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0195…1e21backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 441 | 44%194 W · 247 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…6a3bbacked Yes | 12c | 91.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 51 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Erling Haaland: 2+ goalsthis page
- Bradley Barcola: 1+ goalsNo won
- Bradley Barcola: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 1+ assistsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 1+ goalsYes won
- Désiré Doué: 1+ shotsYes won
- Désiré Doué: 2+ goalsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 3+ goalsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 1+ assistsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 1+ goals + assistsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 1+ shotsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 2+ shotsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 3+ goalsNo won
- Jean-Philippe Mateta: 3+ goalsNo won
- Jean-Philippe Mateta: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Jørgen Strand Larsen: 1+ goalsNo won
- Jørgen Strand Larsen: 1+ goals + assistsNo won
- Jørgen Strand Larsen: 1+ shotsYes won
- Jørgen Strand Larsen: 2+ goalsNo won
- Jørgen Strand Larsen: 2+ shotsYes won
- Jørgen Strand Larsen: 3+ goalsNo won
- Jørgen Strand Larsen: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 1+ assistsYes won
- Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 2+ assistsYes won
- Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goalsNo won
- Maghnes Akliouche: 3+ goalsNo won
- Maghnes Akliouche: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Marcus Thuram: 1+ assistsNo won
- Marcus Thuram: 3+ goalsNo won
- Marcus Thuram: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Michael Olise: 1+ assistsNo won
- Michael Olise: 1+ goalsNo won
- Michael Olise: 1+ shotsYes won
- Michael Olise: 2+ assistsNo won
- Michael Olise: 2+ goalsNo won
- Michael Olise: 3+ goalsNo won
- Michael Olise: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ assistsNo won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goalsYes won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ assistsNo won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ goalsYes won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 3+ goalsYes won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Rayan Cherki: 1+ goalsNo won
- Rayan Cherki: 3+ goalsNo won
- Rayan Cherki: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Thelo Aasgaard: 1+ goalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.