Fifa International · resolved market
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ assists
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf56d4c2017590f90f56dcf4d1ce31307f5b853170da3badc6f9f366594ab8ec1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,803
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,613
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,803 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdac1…baddbacked No | 73c | 999.97$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.99 | 311 | 71.4%222 W · 89 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30da…a11dbacked Yes | 27c | 816.15$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 278 | 20.1%56 W · 222 L | -17.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25c7…9179backed Yes | 28c | 710.21$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.32 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fa…140bbacked Yes | 34c | 588.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 66c | 570.13$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.24 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd61f…c6a6backed No | 72c | 535.71$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 128 | 75.8%97 W · 31 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked No | 74c | 494.14$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.57 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…f666backed Yes | 27c | 277.78$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5c…0b0dbacked Yes | 34c | 232$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.88 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes | 25c | 196.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 303 | 21.5%65 W · 238 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 68c | 142.89$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.12 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcecf…78b2backed Yes | 27c | 129.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +5.7wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 16c | 124.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed No | 75c | 122.66$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.17 | 379 | 71.2%270 W · 109 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 13c | 111.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3900…fb4ebacked Yes | 27c | 107.41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 237 | 29.5%70 W · 167 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8704…566cbacked No | 70c | 100.63$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.63 | 65 | 84.6%55 W · 10 L | +11.4wins | +0.18per pick | 67cpaid | +29%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xde01…a938backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x016c…df21backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 75c | 92.75$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.62 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…4f10backed Yes | 27c | 75.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa599…9176backed No | 73c | 74.96$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 151 | 77.5%117 W · 34 L | +13.1wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2efa…3296backed Yes | 28c | 70.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f71…9b87backed Yes | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 67c | 49.98$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 73c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 70c | 33.77$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 218 | 58.7%128 W · 90 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 73c | 32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…eacfbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 51 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ assiststhis page
- Bradley Barcola: 1+ goalsNo won
- Bradley Barcola: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 1+ assistsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 1+ goalsYes won
- Désiré Doué: 1+ shotsYes won
- Désiré Doué: 2+ goalsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 3+ goalsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 1+ assistsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 1+ goals + assistsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 1+ shotsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 2+ goalsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 2+ shotsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 3+ goalsNo won
- Jean-Philippe Mateta: 3+ goalsNo won
- Jean-Philippe Mateta: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Jørgen Strand Larsen: 1+ goalsNo won
- Jørgen Strand Larsen: 1+ goals + assistsNo won
- Jørgen Strand Larsen: 1+ shotsYes won
- Jørgen Strand Larsen: 2+ goalsNo won
- Jørgen Strand Larsen: 2+ shotsYes won
- Jørgen Strand Larsen: 3+ goalsNo won
- Jørgen Strand Larsen: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 1+ assistsYes won
- Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 2+ assistsYes won
- Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goalsNo won
- Maghnes Akliouche: 3+ goalsNo won
- Maghnes Akliouche: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Marcus Thuram: 1+ assistsNo won
- Marcus Thuram: 3+ goalsNo won
- Marcus Thuram: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Michael Olise: 1+ assistsNo won
- Michael Olise: 1+ goalsNo won
- Michael Olise: 1+ shotsYes won
- Michael Olise: 2+ assistsNo won
- Michael Olise: 2+ goalsNo won
- Michael Olise: 3+ goalsNo won
- Michael Olise: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goalsYes won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ assistsNo won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ goalsYes won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 3+ goalsYes won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Rayan Cherki: 1+ goalsNo won
- Rayan Cherki: 3+ goalsNo won
- Rayan Cherki: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Thelo Aasgaard: 1+ goalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.