Fifa International · resolved market
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ assists
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8aedc7f3d381413354d898e50d786633c62cf012a657f87528524a188640232a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,183
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,320
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,183 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb2…0bc2backed No | 4c | 2,505$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30da…a11dbacked Yes | 24c | 1,232$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.76 | 278 | 20.1%56 W · 222 L | -17.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 34c | 1,070$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.3 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…baddbacked No | 77c | 999.99$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.99 | 311 | 71.4%222 W · 89 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 23c | 724.76$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.07 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2952…f50dbacked Yes | 23c | 528.39$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.86 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd61f…c6a6backed No | 76c | 500$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 128 | 75.8%97 W · 31 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 75c | 437.76$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.32 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb6…099fbacked No | 77c | 182.61$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.61 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 77c | 120$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8d…6fd2backed Yes | 22c | 104.14$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.14 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 572 | 52.4%300 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec9f…c3fbbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x477e…23b3backed No | 78c | 92.45$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.11 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacad…aaf1backed Yes | 24c | 83.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +108.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa599…9176backed No | 79c | 75$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.25 | 151 | 77.5%117 W · 34 L | +13.1wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Yes | 22c | 74.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.8 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb1…0073backed No | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed No | 77c | 53.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.31 | 379 | 71.2%270 W · 109 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 43c | 51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e3…d4f7backed Yes | 25c | 48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 80c | 35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 77c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 80c | 23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 51 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kylian Mbappé: 1+ assiststhis page
- Bradley Barcola: 1+ goalsNo won
- Bradley Barcola: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 1+ assistsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 1+ goalsYes won
- Désiré Doué: 1+ shotsYes won
- Désiré Doué: 2+ goalsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 3+ goalsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 1+ assistsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 1+ goals + assistsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 1+ shotsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 2+ goalsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 2+ shotsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 3+ goalsNo won
- Jean-Philippe Mateta: 3+ goalsNo won
- Jean-Philippe Mateta: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Jørgen Strand Larsen: 1+ goalsNo won
- Jørgen Strand Larsen: 1+ goals + assistsNo won
- Jørgen Strand Larsen: 1+ shotsYes won
- Jørgen Strand Larsen: 2+ goalsNo won
- Jørgen Strand Larsen: 2+ shotsYes won
- Jørgen Strand Larsen: 3+ goalsNo won
- Jørgen Strand Larsen: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 2+ assistsYes won
- Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goalsNo won
- Maghnes Akliouche: 3+ goalsNo won
- Maghnes Akliouche: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Marcus Thuram: 1+ assistsNo won
- Marcus Thuram: 3+ goalsNo won
- Marcus Thuram: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Michael Olise: 1+ assistsNo won
- Michael Olise: 1+ goalsNo won
- Michael Olise: 1+ shotsYes won
- Michael Olise: 2+ assistsNo won
- Michael Olise: 2+ goalsNo won
- Michael Olise: 3+ goalsNo won
- Michael Olise: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ assistsNo won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goalsYes won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ assistsNo won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ goalsYes won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 3+ goalsYes won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Rayan Cherki: 1+ goalsNo won
- Rayan Cherki: 3+ goalsNo won
- Rayan Cherki: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Thelo Aasgaard: 1+ goalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.