TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Ousmane Dembélé: 3+ goals

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,390
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,438

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,390 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc18a…7c09backed Yes1c1,996$20 inWon+$1,976.047810.5%4 W · 777 L-9.0wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-69.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc383…734bbacked Yes2c829.19$20 inWon+$809.193930.8%12 W · 27 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick24cpaid+100.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No61c692.82$420 inLost-$420.142,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes48c615.81$295 inWon+$320.361,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x88b3…3d44backed No10c336$33 inLost-$32.8813813%18 W · 120 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick10cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd255…bbcabacked Yes7c333.33$24 inWon+$309.338711.5%10 W · 77 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-30.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd80e…cad8backed Yes43c232.56$100 inWon+$132.564035%14 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99c9…4c22backed Yes40c200.15$80 inWon+$120.1516032.5%52 W · 108 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x935d…72f4backed Yes34c147.06$50 inWon+$97.0611949.6%59 W · 60 L+9.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+21.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc961…ebd6backed Yes39c51.36$20 inWon+$31.361643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c0a…d10fbacked Yes34c41.14$14 inWon+$27.16757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick33cpaid+69.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No60c30$18 inLost-$18.062,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x628e…a4d1backed Yes40c25$10 inWon+$152040%8 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 51 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.