Fifa International · resolved market
Désiré Doué: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xecf08c100c71563b03205651f5c14e9e2ac2787c21867385974faf482b70cdeb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,310
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,088
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,310 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 74c | 2,102$1,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,561.9 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d1…f4a9backed Yes | 25c | 2,044$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,533 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes | 24c | 1,438$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.33 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 76c | 1,024$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.08 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 70c | 1,017$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.06 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e41…3745backed Yes | 25c | 814.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.29 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed No | 22c | 681$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.82 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +25.9wins | +0.19per pick | 33cpaid | +129%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…6049backed Yes | 25c | 509.17$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.17 | 113 | 16.8%19 W · 94 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd61f…c6a6backed No | 75c | 500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 128 | 75.8%97 W · 31 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 79c | 456.5$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.64 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…835dbacked Yes | 22c | 400$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 272 | 42.3%115 W · 157 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed Yes | 22c | 385$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.3 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +9.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 77c | 378.99$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.51 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…f666backed Yes | 32c | 313.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.44 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 76c | 275.11$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.38 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 63c | 262.9$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.62 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed No | 79c | 252.26$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 76c | 249.99$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.99 | 327 | 65.7%215 W · 112 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked No | 78c | 229.13$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.03 | 245 | 41.2%101 W · 144 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.27 | 303 | 21.5%65 W · 238 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37d9…5442backed Yes | 25c | 220$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 314 | 35.7%112 W · 202 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…046fbacked Yes | 24c | 208.61$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.61 | 345 | 26.1%90 W · 255 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x157e…2efbbacked Yes | 25c | 201.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.43 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 58c | 201.05$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.35 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ef…19aebacked Yes | 25c | 195.24$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.43 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked No | 74c | 162.69$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.03 | 97 | 67%65 W · 32 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 9c | 139$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…3e18backed Yes | 73c | 127.59$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.45 | 132 | 68.2%90 W · 42 L | +20.0wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed No | 78c | 127.34$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.31 | 379 | 71.2%270 W · 109 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcecf…78b2backed Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +5.7wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4efc…83bebacked Yes | 23c | 124.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.66 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d17…9df1backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 57c | 90$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.4 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 79c | 86$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.94 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Yes | 20c | 81.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.46 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf8…6d0ebacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 141 | 27.7%39 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked No | 75c | 79.84$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.01 | 434 | 60.4%262 W · 172 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4b…2b05backed No | 19c | 79.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 22c | 63.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.64 | 224 | 66.1%148 W · 76 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cec…a0abbacked Yes | 21c | 60.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.55 | 160 | 42.5%68 W · 92 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 26c | 58.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.65 | 293 | 38.2%112 W · 181 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed No | 74c | 53.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Yes | 21c | 51.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.71 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9e…370ebacked No | 73c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 74cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6673…6efbbacked No | 27c | 45.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 120 | 29.2%35 W · 85 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ae…0ac6backed No | 80c | 41.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 73c | 34.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ca…4419backed No | 73c | 27.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 81 | 70.4%57 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 75cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed No | 75c | 26.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 190 | 64.2%122 W · 68 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed No | 79c | 15.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 75c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 512 | 50.4%258 W · 254 L | +31.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 51 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Désiré Doué: 1+ goalsthis page
- Bradley Barcola: 1+ goalsNo won
- Bradley Barcola: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 1+ assistsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 1+ shotsYes won
- Désiré Doué: 2+ goalsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 3+ goalsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 1+ assistsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 1+ goals + assistsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 1+ shotsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 2+ goalsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 2+ shotsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 3+ goalsNo won
- Jean-Philippe Mateta: 3+ goalsNo won
- Jean-Philippe Mateta: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Jørgen Strand Larsen: 1+ goalsNo won
- Jørgen Strand Larsen: 1+ goals + assistsNo won
- Jørgen Strand Larsen: 1+ shotsYes won
- Jørgen Strand Larsen: 2+ goalsNo won
- Jørgen Strand Larsen: 2+ shotsYes won
- Jørgen Strand Larsen: 3+ goalsNo won
- Jørgen Strand Larsen: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 1+ assistsYes won
- Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 2+ assistsYes won
- Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goalsNo won
- Maghnes Akliouche: 3+ goalsNo won
- Maghnes Akliouche: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Marcus Thuram: 1+ assistsNo won
- Marcus Thuram: 3+ goalsNo won
- Marcus Thuram: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Michael Olise: 1+ assistsNo won
- Michael Olise: 1+ goalsNo won
- Michael Olise: 1+ shotsYes won
- Michael Olise: 2+ assistsNo won
- Michael Olise: 2+ goalsNo won
- Michael Olise: 3+ goalsNo won
- Michael Olise: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ assistsNo won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goalsYes won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ assistsNo won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ goalsYes won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 3+ goalsYes won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Rayan Cherki: 1+ goalsNo won
- Rayan Cherki: 3+ goalsNo won
- Rayan Cherki: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Thelo Aasgaard: 1+ goalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.