TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Colossal Gaming vs HMBLE (BO5) - LIT Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
HMBLEof Colossal Gaming, HMBLE
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$68,211
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$68,414

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,211 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x58f8…dc70backed HMBLE68c32,085$21,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,254.2240370.2%283 W · 120 L+31.3wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+9.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Colossal Gaming0c8,942$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7889810.7%96 W · 802 L+2.6wins0.00per pick10cpaid-36.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Colossal Gaming1c8,863$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.8526144.1%115 W · 146 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd320…097ebacked Colossal Gaming35c8,275$2,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,896.2715545.8%71 W · 84 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Colossal Gaming31c4,500$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,38016454.9%90 W · 74 L+14.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+22.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x260c…7130backed Colossal Gaming22c3,787$829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828.5323932.6%78 W · 161 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3bc…4c8cbacked Colossal Gaming35c3,500$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2255238.5%20 W · 32 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-25.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8ca…cccbbacked HMBLE67c2,461$1,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.495651.8%29 W · 27 L+6.8wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+24.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x920d…38adbacked Colossal Gaming23c2,174$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006041.7%25 W · 35 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f12…3e35backed Colossal Gaming41c2,122$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$870.0237641.8%157 W · 219 L-18.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2733…ac38backed Colossal Gaming23c2,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4607536%27 W · 48 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed Colossal Gaming33c1,592$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.3846033.9%156 W · 304 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+22%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked HMBLE79c1,553$1,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.1359248.3%286 W · 306 L+15.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x778d…cbe2backed Colossal Gaming35c1,503$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.053545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Colossal Gaming35c1,500$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52585746.3%397 W · 460 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed Colossal Gaming34c1,500$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51014038.6%54 W · 86 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3532…3711backed HMBLE76c1,094$829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.053348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid0%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked Colossal Gaming35c1,084$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.0519146.1%88 W · 103 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Colossal Gaming36c969$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.0814338.5%55 W · 88 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked HMBLE67c713.94$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.62,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked Colossal Gaming36c638.89$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23016325.2%41 W · 122 L-15.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-34.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed HMBLE63c499.97$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.992,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Colossal Gaming41c481.78$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.5318549.7%92 W · 93 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc853…cdedbacked Colossal Gaming7c475.73$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-67.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf527…366bbacked Colossal Gaming15c437.57$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.462524%6 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked HMBLE66c428.18$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.6185046%391 W · 459 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bdd…1b11backed Colossal Gaming38c402$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.7616935.5%60 W · 109 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf012…1a19backed Colossal Gaming29c348.6$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10138034.7%132 W · 248 L-1.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7786…c005backed Colossal Gaming37c299.17$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.6922536.9%83 W · 142 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb1aa…16cfbacked HMBLE73c273.18$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.184362.8%27 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick69cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e13…391fbacked Colossal Gaming38c259.99$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.83441.2%14 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Colossal Gaming41c246$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.8612035.8%43 W · 77 L-12.6wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-26.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9b2b…5752backed Colossal Gaming41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd43f…608dbacked Colossal Gaming41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.25per pick48cpaid-65.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xddd3…dba6backed Colossal Gaming41c225.27$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.3611833.9%40 W · 78 L-10.9wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed HMBLE73c215.43$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.4718350.8%93 W · 90 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed HMBLE77c200$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4624941.4%103 W · 146 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3be2…bc98backed Colossal Gaming40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+92.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc6d…f1c8backed Colossal Gaming26c195.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501723.5%4 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Colossal Gaming30c182$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.8715153.6%81 W · 70 L+17.3wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+23.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2b45…d5f4backed Colossal Gaming41c176.83$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.54852.1%25 W · 23 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Colossal Gaming37c162.16$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6053649.8%267 W · 269 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Colossal Gaming27c161.16$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.362,90538.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L-118.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xafba…a754backed Colossal Gaming35c145$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.7535323.2%82 W · 271 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick21cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e32…aae0backed Colossal Gaming29c127.08$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.85728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed Colossal Gaming40c126.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5066445.6%303 W · 361 L+14.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed HMBLE76c112.05$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9733552.8%177 W · 158 L+15.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed HMBLE65c110.25$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.071,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1349…dc1fbacked HMBLE66c106.18$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.1811750.4%59 W · 58 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-10.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7852…44febacked HMBLE60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf48e…1e01backed Colossal Gaming34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341492.9%13 W · 1 L+6.5wins+0.46per pick47cpaid+121.9%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0xe082…ba33backed HMBLE60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6496…8846backed Colossal Gaming21c93.64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203548.6%17 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed HMBLE67c85.25$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5340347.4%191 W · 212 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a02…a770backed Colossal Gaming40c79.1$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321,37248.6%667 W · 705 L+57.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked Colossal Gaming33c77.7$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6477131.8%245 W · 526 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Colossal Gaming18c76.66$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.88754%47 W · 40 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked HMBLE67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.632,34140.3%943 W · 1,398 L-61.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3cb…bda8backed Colossal Gaming41c63.41$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2621847.2%103 W · 115 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b14…13dcbacked Colossal Gaming41c60$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6825%2 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Colossal Gaming34c59.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3918633.3%62 W · 124 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11f2…a7a0backed HMBLE71c59.37$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.445552.7%29 W · 26 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed HMBLE73c58.88$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7954054.3%293 W · 247 L+26.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Colossal Gaming34c52.93$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1819339.9%77 W · 116 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+20%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked Colossal Gaming41c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.557333%189 W · 384 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Colossal Gaming35c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.536048.9%176 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca81…f2abbacked HMBLE59c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.561143.5%266 W · 345 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed HMBLE69c49.13$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4523348.1%112 W · 121 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff00…74d7backed Colossal Gaming41c48.89$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207744.2%34 W · 43 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72ea…d4f2backed Colossal Gaming41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205152.9%27 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2afd…deb4backed Colossal Gaming33c45.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.35933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4721…e221backed Colossal Gaming37c43.29$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.02250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+72.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b4e…417cbacked Colossal Gaming37c40.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153125.8%8 W · 23 L-5.5wins-0.18per pick44cpaid-41.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6327…97b2backed HMBLE63c32.89$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1712962%80 W · 49 L-7.7wins-0.06per pick68cpaid-8.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked HMBLE80c32.78$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.561,06154.7%580 W · 481 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c55…84cebacked Colossal Gaming32c32.45$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3818440.8%75 W · 109 L-14.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbfa8…cd1ebacked HMBLE66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.379156.1%444 W · 347 L-2.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf628…ba6fbacked Colossal Gaming36c30.05$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.822544%11 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked HMBLE80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,04846.1%483 W · 565 L-43.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d20…ca2abacked HMBLE63c24.65$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.0513935.3%49 W · 90 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2344…6ba3backed HMBLE71c24.51$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.012458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5309…c6c7backed HMBLE64c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.214763.3%93 W · 54 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.