Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Cloud9 vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf57c89bb15a1c0fd9edf1d552c9eeeacfd9934c9bb35dbf9933d140642871bb9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cloud9of Cloud9, Leviatán Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,691
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,194
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,691 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3532…3711backed Leviatán Esports | 55c | 2,506$1,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,388.29 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Cloud9 | 46c | 2,007$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.16 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Cloud9 | 45c | 1,093$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.67 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Leviatán Esports | 34c | 949$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.91 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb44…3eafbacked Cloud9 | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…337ebacked Leviatán Esports | 46c | 391.3$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Leviatán Esports | 45c | 258.99$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.37 | 395 | 45.8%181 W · 214 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Leviatán Esports | 42c | 219.53$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.95 | 316 | 34.2%108 W · 208 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Leviatán Esports | 50c | 218$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.54 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Cloud9 | 40c | 209.44$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.91 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecf…d57dbacked Cloud9 | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb9…9dd0backed Leviatán Esports | 58c | 171.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -4.0wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…fbfcbacked Leviatán Esports | 44c | 162.11$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -47%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Leviatán Esports | 32c | 126.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.37 | 321 | 52.6%169 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d1…3d4cbacked Leviatán Esports | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 16.9%13 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Cloud9 | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 244 | 57.8%141 W · 103 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11b4…7e7bbacked Cloud9 | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa775…ab33backed Leviatán Esports | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.4 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Cloud9 | 42c | 99.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.06 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Leviatán Esports | 28c | 98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.27 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Leviatán Esports | 61c | 84.36$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.08 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63f6…b9eabacked Leviatán Esports | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Leviatán Esports | 47c | 70$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.92 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b14…13dcbacked Cloud9 | 34c | 70$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 31cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Cloud9 | 39c | 64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.94 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Cloud9 | 48c | 63.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.08 | 111 | 52.3%58 W · 53 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Leviatán Esports | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 428 | 40%171 W · 257 L | -22.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Cloud9 | 32c | 58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.44 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +4.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Cloud9 | 56c | 56.94$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked Cloud9 | 79c | 50.38$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Cloud9 | 43c | 32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…ca73backed Cloud9 | 57c | 26.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Cloud9 vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: LEV (-1.5) vs Cloud9 (+1.5)Cloud9 won
- Valorant: Cloud9 vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff PlayoffsCloud9 won
- Valorant: Cloud9 vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 WinnerCloud9 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.