Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Cloud9 vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf8d37b2123799a5ff6b34d07e6e74bf44ad85da41d8a7347110cede3e2aa74d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cloud9of Cloud9, Leviatán Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,826
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,122
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,826 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Leviatán Esports | 0c | 5,055$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 274 | 11.3%31 W · 243 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f9…fee2backed Cloud9 | 57c | 2,185$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.34 | 282 | 47.5%134 W · 148 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf84e…6cbebacked Leviatán Esports | 47c | 1,964$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.94 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Cloud9 | 56c | 1,266$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.7 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Cloud9 | 68c | 1,144$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.04 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Leviatán Esports | 51c | 1,100$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.45 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Leviatán Esports | 41c | 550.38$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.81 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…337ebacked Cloud9 | 57c | 500.09$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.78 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf62a…aecfbacked Leviatán Esports | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked Leviatán Esports | 26c | 394.38$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 212 | 40.1%85 W · 127 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf828…00a5backed Leviatán Esports | 41c | 381.8$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.14 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.7wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Leviatán Esports | 35c | 345.31$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.54 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb404…f61bbacked Leviatán Esports | 42c | 328.74$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.43 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3532…3711backed Cloud9 | 64c | 323.6$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.13 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Leviatán Esports | 25c | 299$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.57 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Leviatán Esports | 38c | 289.01$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.45 | 395 | 45.8%181 W · 214 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Cloud9 | 55c | 204.3$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.75 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed Leviatán Esports | 34c | 196.65$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.86 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558c…ca77backed Cloud9 | 55c | 176.64$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.14 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eba…b143backed Cloud9 | 73c | 137.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.71 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0128…d18abacked Cloud9 | 58c | 118$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.95 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Leviatán Esports | 43c | 112.97$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.26 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Cloud9 | 56c | 105.63$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85a9…4e21backed Leviatán Esports | 34c | 102.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Cloud9 | 66c | 91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.71 | 175 | 37.7%66 W · 109 L | -14.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Cloud9 | 64c | 86.1$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.19 | 316 | 34.2%108 W · 208 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Cloud9 | 62c | 70.21$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 109 | 59.6%65 W · 44 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Cloud9 | 79c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Leviatán Esports | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 111 | 52.3%58 W · 53 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde2a…6bfebacked Leviatán Esports | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 76 | 23.7%18 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Cloud9 | 73c | 48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked Leviatán Esports | 43c | 36.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfebc…0194backed Cloud9 | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd084…27eabacked Leviatán Esports | 52c | 26.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked Cloud9 | 47c | 23.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 628 | 56.4%354 W · 274 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b98…e5d1backed Cloud9 | 63c | 17.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Cloud9 vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: LEV (-1.5) vs Cloud9 (+1.5)Cloud9 won
- Valorant: Cloud9 vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff PlayoffsCloud9 won
- Valorant: Cloud9 vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 WinnerCloud9 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.