Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Army Black Knights vs. Boston Terriers (W)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd911764e709cbfa3fe80531d1fd2839916823ca0394cc9983cb644ad69817542
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Army Black Knightsof Army Black Knights, Boston Terriers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,528
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,799
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,528 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Boston Terriers | 31c | 4,041$1,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234.43 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…0ac2backed Army Black Knights | 59c | 2,084$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.34 | 18 | 88.9%16 W · 2 L | +6.9wins | +0.38per pick | 50cpaid | +106.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Army Black Knights | 50c | 700$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.6 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +8.2wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +136.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x7084…f44ebacked Boston Terriers | 72c | 155.43$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Army Black Knights | 76c | 104$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.46 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b14…13dcbacked Boston Terriers | 29c | 86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0859…43acbacked Boston Terriers | 26c | 77.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Army Black Knights | 71c | 52$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6724…0e17backed Boston Terriers | 52c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Army Black Knights | 70c | 37.49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 227 | 30.4%69 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Army Black Knights | 69c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f1…1c42backed Army Black Knights | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.