TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Norway vs. Senegal: 2nd Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,872
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,346

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,872 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe0f8…003dbacked Under1c1,100$11 inLost-$11948.5%8 W · 86 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-82.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b0f…3476backed Over52c944.74$492 inWon+$452.7417938%68 W · 111 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under48c738$352 inLost-$352.12,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under50c248.51$124 inLost-$1242,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68e9…845cbacked Over53c230.82$123 inWon+$107.8230831.2%96 W · 212 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under48c230.52$111 inLost-$110.784,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe196…7976backed Over52c228.85$119 inWon+$109.8523528.1%66 W · 169 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over48c213.8$102 inWon+$111.828,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Under53c202.95$108 inLost-$107.5653448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under52c144.19$75 inLost-$75.373,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under45c113.56$51 inLost-$51.082,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6403…0318backed Over47c106.38$50 inWon+$56.382927.6%8 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-49.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under47c104$49 inLost-$49.022,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over51c51.55$26 inWon+$25.391,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Under47c50$24 inLost-$23.51,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e36…0c4abacked Over46c43.4$20 inWon+$23.47042.9%30 W · 40 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+23.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fcd…2ccabacked Under55c41.82$23 inLost-$23333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d02…bb89backed Under55c26.89$15 inLost-$14.728045%36 W · 44 L+7.6wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+30.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5c76…7409backed Under57c25.96$15 inLost-$14.811655.2%64 W · 52 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a02…7875backed Over47c25.53$12 inWon+$13.535451.9%28 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df7…2048backed Over50c20$10 inWon+$103036.7%11 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-32.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.