TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Norway vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score in Second Half

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$20,219
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$27,590

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,219 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes34c7,293$2,450 inWon+$4,842.98,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No66c6,379$4,210 inLost-$4,210.024,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed No71c985.07$699 inLost-$699.419545.6%89 W · 106 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed No71c975.95$693 inLost-$692.9285851.2%439 W · 419 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab65…4a03backed No73c589.94$431 inLost-$430.663259.4%19 W · 13 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+29.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Yes31c324.61$100 inWon+$224.6128646.2%132 W · 154 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f41…e6aebacked No69c303.57$209 inLost-$209.468853.4%47 W · 41 L+7.1wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+31.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No66c250.77$167 inLost-$166.582,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No69c238.87$165 inLost-$165.123,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No70c177.99$125 inLost-$124.592,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d30…c902backed Yes31c135.68$42 inWon+$93.627226.4%19 W · 53 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-43.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes29c110$32 inWon+$78.411,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes29c110$32 inWon+$78.361,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1db2…dacabacked Yes30c100$30 inWon+$7019324.9%48 W · 145 L+0.7wins0.00per pick24cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0091…2439backed Yes29c100$29 inWon+$711225%3 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf084…3092backed Yes29c96.55$28 inWon+$68.55425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes33c87.16$29 inWon+$58.131,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Yes31c84.62$26 inWon+$58.451,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No70c79.99$56 inLost-$56.233,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b20…2f94backed Yes33c76.4$25 inWon+$51.420729%60 W · 147 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ba1…88c1backed Yes34c73.62$25 inWon+$48.5910252.9%54 W · 48 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No68c62.5$43 inLost-$42.53,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ef3…dbcdbacked Yes32c62.5$20 inWon+$42.53231.3%10 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-29.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37d…dd3dbacked Yes29c51.72$15 inWon+$36.722030%6 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked No40c50$20 inLost-$19.82,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe569…e759backed Yes34c49.71$17 inWon+$32.7152441.4%217 W · 307 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes37c44$16 inWon+$27.941,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Yes38c44$17 inWon+$27.2487237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf88b…0ed2backed Yes29c40$12 inWon+$28.413151.1%67 W · 64 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd970…bbbabacked Yes39c39.21$15 inWon+$24.0419356%108 W · 85 L+34.7wins+0.18per pick38cpaid+61%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed No71c20.69$15 inLost-$14.6961752%321 W · 296 L-13.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab35…118dbacked No67c19.99$13 inLost-$13.411061.8%68 W · 42 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No71c19.46$14 inLost-$13.823,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd9f…a686backed No74c14.86$11 inLost-$1118473.4%135 W · 49 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick71cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.