Fifa International · resolved market
New Zealand vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 5.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaabcd7cb043db45925c9e301d2079a11befebd2271360e6ac5f6bab39affbb1a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,448
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,434
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,448 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Under | 58c | 4,259$2,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,792.29 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -10.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 42c | 3,435$1,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,443.41 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 51c | 1,462$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.27 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9392…a5fcbacked Over | 46c | 1,012$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.09 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0f…3476backed Over | 49c | 771.43$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 179 | 38%68 W · 111 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 48c | 424.28$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.23 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 42c | 403.92$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.65 | 637 | 45.4%289 W · 348 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb795…1a30backed Under | 52c | 313.63$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.54 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 53c | 294.05$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.3 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed Over | 44c | 271$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.24 | 241 | 48.1%116 W · 125 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 57c | 270.49$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.87 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 52c | 240$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.2 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 52c | 240$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.2 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 54c | 239.33$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.27 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce7c…17cfbacked Under | 52c | 208.67$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.16 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 208 | 25%52 W · 156 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Over | 48c | 202.1$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.98 | 359 | 54%194 W · 165 L | +20.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Under | 55c | 199.99$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 47c | 134.05$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.43 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 46c | 131$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.59 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 47c | 121.96$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.61 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Over | 60c | 116.49$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.09 | 318 | 53.1%169 W · 149 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc70b…d2f2backed Over | 44c | 98.96$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.54 | 402 | 40%161 W · 241 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b3…384fbacked Under | 57c | 98.25$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.25 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd424…bf7bbacked Over | 49c | 81.84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e79…9076backed Over | 46c | 76.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf555…b36bbacked Over | 48c | 62.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0e…c22fbacked Over | 45c | 57.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b8…0effbacked Over | 44c | 53.74$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2c…cd4ebacked Over | 45c | 48.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd4…9cf7backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 157 | 27.4%43 W · 114 L | -8.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6136…64f8backed Under | 55c | 36.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Under | 46c | 27.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 190 | 64.2%122 W · 68 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37aa…01f4backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 452 | 54.6%247 W · 205 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 5.5 Cornersthis page
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: New Zealand O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: New Zealand O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: Team to Take First CornerNew Zealand won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.