Fifa International · resolved market
New Zealand vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa486fa0a51a1b536931dc6753054d77b27445dbc990424ec493f0475c25ab07c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,535
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,512
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,535 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddbf…99c2backed Under | 58c | 600$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a55…fd0dbacked Over | 43c | 313.95$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Over | 42c | 249.98$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.99 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Over | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 208 | 25%52 W · 156 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 42c | 235.61$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.57 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 57c | 218.99$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.17 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3d…85abbacked Over | 38c | 182.13$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.21 | 364 | 48.6%177 W · 187 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 57c | 118.8$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad90…51d2backed Under | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 133 | 41.4%55 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 56c | 95.33$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.95 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8e…22ebbacked Over | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 92 | 33.7%31 W · 61 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…b30abacked Over | 43c | 55.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdf…8116backed Over | 43c | 52.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e6…fa86backed Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 101 | 36.6%37 W · 64 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c7a…296bbacked Over | 43c | 37.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 57c | 37.21$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d44…1d7cbacked Over | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked Over | 42c | 29.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 452 | 54.6%247 W · 205 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 57c | 26.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 58c | 24.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa54a…f771backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersthis page
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: New Zealand O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: New Zealand O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: Team to Take First CornerNew Zealand won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.