Fifa International · resolved market
New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 10.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb5ed8d52ee3e386b4a346014eec854aa1d1a65f50ae8c5854b6a4ea9e662355
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,427
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,886
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,427 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x896e…53f2backed Over | 31c | 8,096$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Over | 21c | 6,911$1,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.37 | 341 | 25.8%88 W · 253 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Under | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 188 | 48.9%92 W · 96 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 71c | 1,836$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.56 | 351 | 50.7%178 W · 173 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 71c | 1,714$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.71 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 70c | 1,672$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.6 | 258 | 48.4%125 W · 133 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 73c | 1,654$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.74 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 75c | 1,509$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.58 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 70c | 946.73$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.02 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcd…0320backed Over | 29c | 895.28$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.63 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb500…1cdebacked Under | 74c | 808.85$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.85 | 174 | 53.4%93 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Under | 70c | 798.94$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.68 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Under | 70c | 798.94$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.68 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 27c | 753.42$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.92 | 407 | 36.6%149 W · 258 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 68c | 670.26$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.48 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 29c | 637.82$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.51 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 70c | 605.33$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.13 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee8…432fbacked Over | 30c | 600$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7845…417bbacked Over | 28c | 350$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 27c | 281.05$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.88 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 68c | 250$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 695 | 34.8%242 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 73c | 240.34$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.81 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x787b…652bbacked Over | 30c | 233.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e60…536bbacked Under | 64c | 230.67$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.6 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…10b4backed Over | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 724 | 24.7%179 W · 545 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3d…85abbacked Over | 28c | 165.18$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.25 | 364 | 48.6%177 W · 187 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 24c | 162.65$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.47 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe745…5681backed Over | 15c | 148.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e77…a6bdbacked Over | 29c | 134.48$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.47 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Under | 70c | 112.47$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.74 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e6…fa86backed Over | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 101 | 36.6%37 W · 64 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2000…df78backed Over | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…2948backed Under | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 260 | 42.3%110 W · 150 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Over | 34c | 97.06$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 193 | 39.9%77 W · 116 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51d8…d8a7backed Over | 22c | 94.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Over | 29c | 94.95$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 580 | 29.5%171 W · 409 L | -19.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 12c | 94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…b241backed Over | 29c | 72.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x620d…a2f2backed Under | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 143 | 74.8%107 W · 36 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf647…1f45backed Under | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6511…5f44backed Over | 18c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…b30abacked Over | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 30c | 64.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f7…e600backed Under | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 69c | 55.43$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd042…07c3backed Over | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 69c | 44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45fe…2423backed Over | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 36c | 36.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 75c | 33.49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Under | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 548 | 59.5%326 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x522e…a453backed Under | 66c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e2…2964backed Under | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 235 | 50.2%118 W · 117 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 70c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbf…49c1backed Under | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 224 | 52.7%118 W · 106 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Under | 70c | 22.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 218 | 58.7%128 W · 90 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 71c | 19.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked Under | 70c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 452 | 54.6%247 W · 205 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b7…3267backed Under | 71c | 16.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 270 | 58.1%157 W · 113 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersthis page
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: New Zealand O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: New Zealand O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: Team to Take First CornerNew Zealand won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.