Fifa International · resolved market
New Zealand vs. Egypt: New Zealand O/U 3.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12ba7aa847280b95874a9d2cc2c2459511fc077c6ce6b019a76d6ef2700c6d25
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,054
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,315
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,054 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 64c | 7,501$4,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,790.8 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 39c | 4,909$1,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,970.76 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 40c | 2,716$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,622.1 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 33c | 1,299$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.31 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Under | 56c | 1,142$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.71 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +21.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 55c | 905.83$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.21 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 55c | 794.76$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.46 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 55c | 589.62$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.29 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce7c…17cfbacked Over | 45c | 579.74$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.36 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59a8…eb4ebacked Over | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85da…24d8backed Under | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 44c | 397.86$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.8 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 44c | 356.25$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.5 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed Over | 45c | 350$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.5 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 47c | 335.64$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.45 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 30c | 329.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.14 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed Under | 54c | 320$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.8 | 241 | 48.1%116 W · 125 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 44c | 288.05$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.35 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 44c | 284$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.04 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3d…85abbacked Under | 52c | 243$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.1 | 364 | 48.6%177 W · 187 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 40c | 229.84$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.59 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 57c | 220$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.91 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 56c | 217.21$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.47 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7cd…093abacked Over | 29c | 200$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 15c | 189.66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.31 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 14c | 178$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.08 | 586 | 42.8%251 W · 335 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e0…e2cbbacked Over | 45c | 176.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.27 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Over | 46c | 160$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 56c | 140$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.4 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 45c | 98.43$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.42 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 44c | 95$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.25 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 64c | 88$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 47c | 87.96$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 69c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16d4…6e9bbacked Over | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 211 | 28%59 W · 152 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcedc…e7d5backed Over | 40c | 49.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 38c | 44.79$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.97 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under | 55c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ac…0e0bbacked Under | 57c | 17.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: New Zealand O/U 3.5 Cornersthis page
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: New Zealand O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: Team to Take First CornerNew Zealand won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.