TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Clemson Tigers vs. Duke Blue Devils

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Duke Blue Devilsof Clemson Tigers, Duke Blue Devils
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$43,051

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,051 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xac0a…f89ebacked Clemson Tigers14c3,274$458 inLost-$458.434146.3%19 W · 22 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Clemson Tigers16c2,656$414 inLost-$414.475,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Clemson Tigers1c2,293$23 inLost-$22.9334343.4%149 W · 194 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc04…1c43backed Clemson Tigers16c2,053$328 inLost-$328.452532%8 W · 17 L-4.0wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-41.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Clemson Tigers2c1,587$36 inLost-$35.811,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27bf…fa14backed Clemson Tigers3c1,213$39 inLost-$38.952615.4%4 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick7cpaid+142.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Clemson Tigers16c869.6$137 inLost-$137.12,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Clemson Tigers7c817.21$57 inLost-$57.25,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Clemson Tigers5c694.08$33 inLost-$33.323,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Clemson Tigers12c661.19$79 inLost-$78.6412,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38fa…87b5backed Clemson Tigers20c596.86$120 inLost-$120.3214027.1%38 W · 102 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Clemson Tigers15c499.98$75 inLost-$7555532.8%182 W · 373 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Clemson Tigers17c298.52$51 inLost-$50.751,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63ed…92bebacked Clemson Tigers17c298.52$51 inLost-$50.751637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8180…f4dabacked Clemson Tigers19c261.74$50 inLost-$49.732254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Clemson Tigers16c254.08$41 inLost-$40.651,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3966…c095backed Clemson Tigers20c248.6$50 inLost-$49.72825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-28.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Clemson Tigers16c238.83$38 inLost-$38.2125829.5%76 W · 182 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88bd…c088backed Clemson Tigers16c227.46$36 inLost-$36.396347.6%30 W · 33 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Clemson Tigers17c199.01$34 inLost-$33.832,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0606…1d57backed Clemson Tigers15c179.99$28 inLost-$27.62532%8 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Clemson Tigers17c175.6$30 inLost-$29.8535646.6%166 W · 190 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe320…e0c5backed Clemson Tigers16c109.48$18 inLost-$17.529845.9%45 W · 53 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x37aa…01f4backed Clemson Tigers16c100$16 inLost-$161216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-57.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x492d…2f04backed Clemson Tigers17c93.65$16 inLost-$15.925253.8%28 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb6a…857abacked Clemson Tigers16c93.31$15 inLost-$14.934027.5%11 W · 29 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Clemson Tigers16c88.93$14 inLost-$14.2362140.4%251 W · 370 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Clemson Tigers12c88.17$11 inLost-$10.8226945.7%123 W · 146 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed Clemson Tigers16c84.1$13 inLost-$13.4629337.2%109 W · 184 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc62e…108dbacked Clemson Tigers17c82.53$14 inLost-$14.0310638.7%41 W · 65 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Clemson Tigers13c81.63$11 inLost-$10.7949345.4%224 W · 269 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x798e…4df3backed Clemson Tigers17c74.37$13 inLost-$12.574740.4%19 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-18.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1736…32f1backed Clemson Tigers17c69.65$12 inLost-$11.844438.6%17 W · 27 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Clemson Tigers16c61.83$10 inLost-$10.161,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x06fc…4fb6backed Duke Blue Devils80c30$24 inWon+$67157.7%41 W · 30 L+7.3wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+13.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.