Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5eeced01bc9cca21334e95d2a8998d08de0947d854ec9bd6f9738da2476c1e57
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Duke Blue Devilsof Duke Blue Devils, Clemson Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,859
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,859 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Clemson Tigers | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Duke Blue Devils | 49c | 1,271$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.42 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Clemson Tigers | 51c | 994.18$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.12 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Duke Blue Devils | 49c | 844.78$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.84 | 372 | 46.2%172 W · 200 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Duke Blue Devils | 50c | 841.79$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.62 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Duke Blue Devils | 43c | 580.85$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.14 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcda…78b1backed Clemson Tigers | 51c | 495.63$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.77 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Clemson Tigers | 53c | 374.99$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.26 | 338 | 55%186 W · 152 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Duke Blue Devils | 46c | 366.33$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.42 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac4d…8e7ebacked Duke Blue Devils | 50c | 351.75$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.62 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Duke Blue Devils | 47c | 328.91$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.32 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9c…dbaebacked Clemson Tigers | 57c | 248.73$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.77 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Clemson Tigers | 52c | 222.05$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.06 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63ed…92bebacked Clemson Tigers | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Clemson Tigers | 51c | 195.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.91 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Clemson Tigers | 51c | 194.36$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Duke Blue Devils | 51c | 153.64$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.5 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…f39cbacked Clemson Tigers | 50c | 88$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…a219backed Clemson Tigers | 51c | 68.03$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.69 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Clemson Tigers | 52c | 67.01$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.84 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Clemson Tigers | 53c | 65.46$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.69 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Duke Blue Devils | 44c | 42.06$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Clemson Tigers | 51c | 39.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Clemson Tigers | 50c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Duke Blue Devils | 50c | 31.72$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 239 | 48.1%115 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1736…32f1backed Clemson Tigers | 51c | 29.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Duke Blue Devils | 48c | 22.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Clemson Tigers | 52c | 22.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2415…1caabacked Clemson Tigers | 51c | 21.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Duke Blue Devils | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 330 | 58.2%192 W · 138 L | +24.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-10.5)this page
- Clemson Tigers vs. Duke Blue DevilsDuke Blue Devils won
- Clemson Tigers vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 131.5Over won
- Clemson Tigers vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 133.5Over won
- Clemson Tigers vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 134.5Under won
- Clemson Tigers vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 135.5Under won
- Clemson Tigers vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 137.5Under won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-9.5)Duke Blue Devils won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.