Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Clemson Tigers vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 135.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcbee965139d8894fdbfda3990a9f3a065e4b525236c514458e3dc4082e6de648
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,633
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,633 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Over | 52c | 10,146$5,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,267.06 | 226 | 45.6%103 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 9,104$4,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,732.66 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 58c | 378.54$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.04 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 49c | 242.76$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.81 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 52c | 209.69$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.04 | 308 | 53.2%164 W · 144 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 205.41$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.81 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed Under | 49c | 202.3$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.17 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Under | 49c | 202.3$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.17 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 48c | 149.18$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.48 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Over | 51c | 147.4$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.17 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 52c | 82.27$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…417cbacked Under | 49c | 80.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.27 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 34c | 50.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…1e5ebacked Under | 49c | 50.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.79 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 44c | 47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…f266backed Over | 52c | 40.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 46c | 34.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1452…a529backed Under | 54c | 33.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Over | 51c | 28.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x287c…81b2backed Under | 56c | 17.85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Clemson Tigers vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 135.5this page
- Clemson Tigers vs. Duke Blue DevilsDuke Blue Devils won
- Clemson Tigers vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 131.5Over won
- Clemson Tigers vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 133.5Over won
- Clemson Tigers vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 134.5Under won
- Clemson Tigers vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 137.5Under won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-10.5)Duke Blue Devils won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-9.5)Duke Blue Devils won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.