Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Clemson Tigers vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 134.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f19d55816f83f11f9566a7727755bd21e34d44bf62f43a879451ea87c39d9cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,396
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,396 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Over | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 2,590$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.86 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Under | 49c | 1,526$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.46 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 51c | 1,424$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.28 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Over | 54c | 700.9$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.48 | 226 | 45.6%103 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc006…3c94backed Under | 46c | 538.75$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Under | 48c | 414.77$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.52 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b42…62afbacked Over | 51c | 327.32$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.75 | 144 | 59%85 W · 59 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 49c | 298.28$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.5 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 54c | 293.71$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…440abacked Under | 49c | 287.46$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.61 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 47c | 254.28$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.72 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 63c | 224.8$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.85 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 172 | 41.3%71 W · 101 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d66…22d1backed Under | 47c | 198.26$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.08 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 52c | 139.69$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.23 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Over | 52c | 135.17$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.29 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +9.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Over | 52c | 131.93$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.81 | 248 | 57.3%142 W · 106 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 48c | 127.65$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.34 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Over | 50c | 110.65$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.33 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 46c | 108.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.69 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 44c | 105.15$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.05 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84c…2c56backed Under | 47c | 101.24$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.66 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 48c | 99.79$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.89 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a9…642dbacked Over | 53c | 87.31$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.27 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 48c | 72.68$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Over | 52c | 66.14$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.39 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…1e38backed Under | 50c | 59.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.74 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 52c | 58.72$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.54 | 172 | 58.7%101 W · 71 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4a…7045backed Over | 51c | 54.76$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 49c | 46.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 83 | 72.3%60 W · 23 L | +14.6wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 47c | 43.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 47c | 40.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 48c | 38.31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.04 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 46c | 36.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Over | 52c | 27.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under | 49c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 394 | 54.6%215 W · 179 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…bc49backed Over | 52c | 26.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Over | 49c | 22.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 293 | 37.2%109 W · 184 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Clemson Tigers vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 134.5this page
- Clemson Tigers vs. Duke Blue DevilsDuke Blue Devils won
- Clemson Tigers vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 131.5Over won
- Clemson Tigers vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 133.5Over won
- Clemson Tigers vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 135.5Under won
- Clemson Tigers vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 137.5Under won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-10.5)Duke Blue Devils won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-9.5)Duke Blue Devils won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.