Fifa International · resolved market
United States to score first vs. Belgium?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d6da71b4caf674de94c40f502ea001f5baa10dfece35c82d6b0742508bf7832
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $196,367
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $236,896
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $196,367 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 51c | 49,886$25,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,392.93 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed No | 49c | 39,898$19,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,347.78 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66d5…9e9fbacked No | 49c | 25,032$12,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,766.25 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 51c | 23,600$12,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,011.19 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 51c | 17,247$8,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,784.78 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 17c | 14,512$2,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,465.61 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 49c | 8,499$4,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,308.86 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 50c | 5,434$2,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,716.85 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked No | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,549.98 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 48c | 4,946$2,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,556.07 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 49c | 4,460$2,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,274.81 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 50c | 3,985$1,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,990.56 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 50c | 3,700$1,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,848.93 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 49c | 3,498$1,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,781.59 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…e4e0backed Yes | 52c | 2,923$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,509.99 | 253 | 36.8%93 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Yes | 50c | 2,808$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404.13 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 311 | 52.7%164 W · 147 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed No | 50c | 2,211$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.53 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b8…906dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed No | 49c | 1,824$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.18 | 320 | 42.2%135 W · 185 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42f0…7eb6backed Yes | 13c | 1,800$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 49c | 1,670$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.47 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 49c | 1,541$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.04 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.99 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2a…7b2fbacked Yes | 11c | 1,325$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.7 | 112 | 16.1%18 W · 94 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +56%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 49c | 1,278$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.76 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40a7…ecb7backed Yes | 1c | 1,111$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 198 | 25.3%50 W · 148 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 50c | 1,020$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.1 | 170 | 52.9%90 W · 80 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc96e…f1f9backed No | 50c | 1,015$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.61 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Yes | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Yes | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 354 | 46%163 W · 191 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…525bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8e…9665backed Yes | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 284 | 44.4%126 W · 158 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x417d…08f7backed Yes | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Yes | 52c | 953.85$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496 | 147 | 25.9%38 W · 109 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 66c | 882.59$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.42 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…b084backed Yes | 50c | 749.99$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 232 | 40.5%94 W · 138 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe14…c27dbacked Yes | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +5.9wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3c84…f6fcbacked Yes | 13c | 700$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +12.3wins | +0.20per pick | 16cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 50c | 607.61$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.81 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 50c | 566.37$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.94 | 419 | 68.3%286 W · 133 L | +65.4wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 70c | 506.12$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.11 | 342 | 38.6%132 W · 210 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27db…3824backed No | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63e3…f341backed Yes | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 50c | 475$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.5 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 49c | 451.47$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.25 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde7e…396bbacked Yes | 49c | 410$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.9 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5baf…0357backed No | 50c | 410$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea1a…b400backed Yes | 51c | 410$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e5…9623backed No | 50c | 407$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.5 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…721fbacked Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 81 | 65.4%53 W · 28 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 50c | 392.62$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.9 | 326 | 39%127 W · 199 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Yes | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6993…3f71backed Yes | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 224 | 19.6%44 W · 180 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 78c | 346.37$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.65 | 335 | 38.8%130 W · 205 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaabc…a190backed Yes | 52c | 346.15$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfedd…3d6dbacked Yes | 51c | 329.12$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.85 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +6.2wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Yes | 51c | 303.92$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4712…7b92backed Yes | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -5.7wins | -0.34per pick | 45cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb9…6f30backed Yes | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa76c…a1babacked No | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee9…d719backed No | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked No | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Yes | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 49c | 255$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.05 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 49c | 254.99$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.83 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 49c | 254.62$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.76 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0c…4eb3backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 179 | 30.7%55 W · 124 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…5ec8backed Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 83 | 20.5%17 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1a…947cbacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 125 | 32.8%41 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9516…0bcbbacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 562 | 40.6%228 W · 334 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…5fefbacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 100 | 62%62 W · 38 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebed…3528backed Yes | 51c | 193.22$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.54 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 49c | 173.7$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.59 | 340 | 35%119 W · 221 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 18c | 170.38$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.67 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…b328backed Yes | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed No | 49c | 154.69$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.44 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…db44backed No | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.5 | 197 | 60.4%119 W · 78 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…375cbacked Yes | 13c | 144.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 92 | 21.7%20 W · 72 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8eca…73aebacked Yes | 50c | 144$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 49c | 128.41$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.49 | 361 | 39.1%141 W · 220 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 49c | 127.29$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.92 | 351 | 36.8%129 W · 222 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dff…6743backed No | 50c | 124$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 346 | 46%159 W · 187 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed No | 50c | 120.1$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.25 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba34…32b8backed Yes | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 261 | 51.7%135 W · 126 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7575…6a41backed Yes | 56c | 117.01$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 12c | 116.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…cd44backed Yes | 11c | 114.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +149.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 49c | 111.58$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.91 | 339 | 37.5%127 W · 212 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a89…3e2abacked Yes | 51c | 109.8$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -7.0wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4b…1914backed Yes | 51c | 107.84$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 269 | 46.8%126 W · 143 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4592…b07ebacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 572 | 52.4%300 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e44…9d02backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e2…2964backed Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 235 | 50.2%118 W · 117 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d86…9241backed Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 120 | 20.8%25 W · 95 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb99d…e4e5backed Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- United States to score first vs. Belgium?this page
- Belgium to score first vs. United States?Yes won
- United States vs. Belgium: Neither team to score first?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.