Fifa International · resolved market
United States vs. Belgium: Neither team to score first?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ed65307ce6adf7e0bf0c949ae1b411a68183ac36cf5eb88559a28f0f84d82c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $189,805
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $198,216
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $189,805 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Yes | 6c | 50,578$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 324 | 29.9%97 W · 227 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad9…7e66backed Yes | 6c | 7,931$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.17 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 7c | 5,262$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.36 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabfc…4247backed Yes | 7c | 4,542$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.25 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 6c | 2,714$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.81 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 6c | 2,585$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.98 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked Yes | 7c | 2,355$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.81 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…3066backed Yes | 6c | 2,178$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 6c | 2,123$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.79 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 7c | 2,090$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.88 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…e028backed Yes | 5c | 2,000$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a3…24eabacked Yes | 6c | 1,549$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 3.2%2 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62a4…c680backed Yes | 7c | 1,520$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 183 | 21.3%39 W · 144 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47cc…0453backed Yes | 6c | 1,479$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 6c | 1,410$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.96 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc67c…5047backed Yes | 7c | 1,209$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.98 | 125 | 29.6%37 W · 88 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Yes | 5c | 1,149$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.05 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5e…38dcbacked Yes | 6c | 769.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41c7…c8fbbacked Yes | 6c | 621.42$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.18 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Yes | 5c | 576.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 756 | 30.4%230 W · 526 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…17e4backed Yes | 6c | 508.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 62 | 27.4%17 W · 45 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +93.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf408…afe0backed Yes | 5c | 500$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +7.0wins | +0.15per pick | 34cpaid | +94.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1f17…c1dbbacked Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 288 | 8%23 W · 265 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5b…4a17backed Yes | 5c | 480.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 231 | 24.7%57 W · 174 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…4c28backed Yes | 5c | 480.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 123 | 35.8%44 W · 79 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…33a1backed Yes | 6c | 457.03$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 127 | 9.4%12 W · 115 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6f…d024backed Yes | 6c | 455$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 774 | 33.1%256 W · 518 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2277…6604backed Yes | 6c | 379.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 186 | 41.9%78 W · 108 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebab…cee0backed Yes | 6c | 354.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | +8.3wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a6…3149backed Yes | 6c | 344.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 25.6%21 W · 61 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6517…aa7cbacked Yes | 6c | 344.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2731…1370backed Yes | 6c | 338.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfedd…3d6dbacked Yes | 6c | 334.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +6.2wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc68…ec2bbacked Yes | 7c | 320$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8233…36d5backed Yes | 6c | 307.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 5c | 298.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes | 6c | 292.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 302 | 20.2%61 W · 241 L | -15.6wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba8f…9decbacked Yes | 6c | 222.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 39 | 7.7%3 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98f1…1445backed Yes | 7c | 150$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- United States vs. Belgium: Neither team to score first?this page
- Belgium to score first vs. United States?Yes won
- United States to score first vs. Belgium?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.