Fifa International · resolved market
Belgium to score first vs. United States?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e40e6a5ffc143f771262d331a09ba069f4ee54e95be836252b235ab0b017a53
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,483
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,819
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,483 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 45c | 10,154$4,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,571.55 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 45c | 7,556$3,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,158.3 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 53c | 5,658$2,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,981.33 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 56c | 4,500$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 55c | 4,078$2,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,242.93 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 56c | 3,496$1,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,955.4 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 44c | 3,379$1,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,887.14 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 44c | 2,713$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512.12 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Yes | 45c | 2,251$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,238 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x580e…38cdbacked Yes | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.22 | 167 | 39.5%66 W · 101 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 55c | 2,189$1,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.34 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b4…1483backed Yes | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.91 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -5.9wins | -0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 56c | 1,670$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.95 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 59c | 1,613$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.97 | 419 | 68.3%286 W · 133 L | +65.4wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 55c | 1,541$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.31 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2a…7b2fbacked No | 11c | 1,500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 112 | 16.1%18 W · 94 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +56%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2422…1939backed No | 11c | 1,350$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +107.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a57…d10fbacked No | 11c | 1,311$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.25 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 9cpaid | +506.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42f0…7eb6backed No | 11c | 1,200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40a7…ecb7backed No | 1c | 1,111$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 198 | 25.3%50 W · 148 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cc…506fbacked Yes | 46c | 1,030$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.97 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 45c | 1,020$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.99 | 170 | 52.9%90 W · 80 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d14…e4fabacked No | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 104 | 20.2%21 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…896cbacked No | 11c | 900$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…cd44backed No | 11c | 899.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +149.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 38c | 882.59$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.38 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 44c | 799.99$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.99 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c84…f6fcbacked No | 13c | 700$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +12.3wins | +0.20per pick | 16cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x318d…e94cbacked Yes | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.17 | 174 | 62.1%108 W · 66 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 55c | 649.39$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.71 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…53d0backed Yes | 45c | 555.56$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.56 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Yes | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 311 | 56.6%176 W · 135 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 55c | 475$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.25 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0936…fb00backed No | 56c | 463.57$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.6 | 82 | 64.6%53 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 56c | 432.67$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.68 | 332 | 37.3%124 W · 208 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad1c…6016backed No | 56c | 425$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 54c | 389.97$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.53 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 56c | 351.17$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.25 | 342 | 38.6%132 W · 210 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde0e…e5bcbacked No | 55c | 351$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.05 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…375cbacked No | 14c | 334.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.04 | 92 | 21.7%20 W · 72 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked No | 55c | 299.99$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 42c | 299.45$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.81 | 350 | 35.7%125 W · 225 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 13c | 264.24$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.17 | 340 | 35%119 W · 221 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cba…351cbacked No | 56c | 251.77$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.99 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2c…898abacked No | 55c | 251.43$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 46c | 238.39$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.35 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd09d…b15dbacked Yes | 45c | 220.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.78 | 165 | 49.1%81 W · 84 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f72…630cbacked Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 52 | 9.6%5 W · 47 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45ea…8bc9backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +151.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x958f…a7a9backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5782…8ce5backed Yes | 45c | 210$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 190 | 62.6%119 W · 71 L | +13.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4208…a0c2backed Yes | 52c | 209$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.01 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 53c | 208.49$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.85 | 351 | 36.8%129 W · 222 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Yes | 44c | 207.6$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.46 | 320 | 42.2%135 W · 185 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24f6…7ce9backed No | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 44c | 197.89$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.99 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 55c | 180$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 45c | 180$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf83a…e7febacked No | 55c | 178.45$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.15 | 74 | 68.9%51 W · 23 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 55c | 178.22$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.02 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 56c | 178.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.71 | 363 | 35.8%130 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd252…4058backed No | 56c | 177.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.57 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 32c | 150.21$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.07 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a89…7ea7backed Yes | 46c | 126.78$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x474a…a275backed Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…9bdfbacked Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0e…6a41backed Yes | 46c | 110$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5062…be14backed No | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 238 | 63.4%151 W · 87 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd496…33d7backed Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…3323backed Yes | 47c | 106.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.04 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 24c | 104$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dff…6743backed No | 56c | 103.57$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 346 | 46%159 W · 187 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e36…1f39backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed No | 56c | 100.37$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.41 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 23c | 99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked No | 38c | 98.47$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.42 | 451 | 45%203 W · 248 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 25c | 81.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked No | 51c | 80.75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.18 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 56c | 76.61$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 335 | 38.8%130 W · 205 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x290d…c781backed No | 56c | 70$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked Yes | 44c | 67.31$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.69 | 785 | 59.7%469 W · 316 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0811…1870backed Yes | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -9.8wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x087a…bb87backed Yes | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 139 | 30.9%43 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 54c | 63.44$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.05 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 55c | 60.34$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 344 | 38.4%132 W · 212 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…db44backed No | 55c | 55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 197 | 60.4%119 W · 78 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed No | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 548 | 59.5%326 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 55c | 49.11$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 361 | 39.1%141 W · 220 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Yes | 45c | 45.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.88 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Yes | 45c | 44.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.69 | 201 | 54.7%110 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb8…46d2backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 150 | 38%57 W · 93 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de7…c06fbacked Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f83…0e8dbacked No | 56c | 42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e19…270abacked Yes | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 251 | 38.6%97 W · 154 L | -16.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 55c | 35.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1617…d790backed No | 46c | 34.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 248 | 43.1%107 W · 141 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x751f…e4ddbacked No | 55c | 34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 879 | 38.6%339 W · 540 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e0…33fabacked Yes | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 375 | 26.1%98 W · 277 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Belgium to score first vs. United States?this page
- United States to score first vs. Belgium?No won
- United States vs. Belgium: Neither team to score first?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.