Middle East · resolved market
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9a1f9bec2c32b8278b0992a05dfe5f298b2e93087b6f19270f7ad19c29ebb23
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,209
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,214
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,209 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc97b…47e5backed No | 48c | 6,305$3,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,004.53 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…3363backed Yes | 59c | 4,651$2,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,929.82 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | +14.5wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb37a…f1b1backed Yes | 78c | 3,165$2,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.39 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc881…b071backed No | 34c | 3,010$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.55 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…1766backed Yes | 62c | 2,053$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.05 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 65c | 2,004$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.36 | 362 | 27.9%101 W · 261 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5138…4fe5backed No | 41c | 1,740$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82c9…36fcbacked No | 30c | 1,727$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.11 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x708d…ea78backed Yes | 77c | 1,553$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.64 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fa…aeecbacked No | 1c | 1,397$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 45c | 1,135$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.41 | 217 | 26.7%58 W · 159 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf296…84f6backed Yes | 5c | 1,033$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.3 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe665…7d42backed Yes | 66c | 986.95$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 36c | 908.55$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.45 | 589 | 27.2%160 W · 429 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 69c | 855.5$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.3 | 217 | 51.6%112 W · 105 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes | 5c | 823.55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.32 | 296 | 53.7%159 W · 137 L | +20.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +104.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e49…f1afbacked No | 1c | 746.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 229 | 27.1%62 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -43%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…79d7backed Yes | 70c | 727.39$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.47 | 225 | 29.8%67 W · 158 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b67…b814backed Yes | 62c | 692.49$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.22 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +117.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 37c | 611$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.36 | 423 | 11.6%49 W · 374 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 63c | 588.23$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.43 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd5aa…7472backed No | 40c | 497.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Yes | 9c | 473.48$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.68 | 114 | 36%41 W · 73 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27da…d24abacked Yes | 9c | 465$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.96 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c74…b0cebacked No | 47c | 407.06$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e3…9188backed No | 12c | 330.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.66 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 27c | 329.92$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.83 | 344 | 32.3%111 W · 233 L | -31.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.7 | 341 | 43.4%148 W · 193 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a3…962fbacked Yes | 5c | 299.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.14 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…1c8ebacked Yes | 62c | 298.82$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.63 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf26c…ebe5backed No | 34c | 294.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a16…f468backed No | 47c | 276.57$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 68cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd51…730abacked No | 60c | 266.38$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No | 38c | 256.26$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.66 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa47c…ed25backed Yes | 4c | 253.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.96per pick | 4cpaid | +2,269.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2a…b7b5backed Yes | 72c | 251.83$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.3 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -6.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa6dc…12ecbacked Yes | 32c | 238.13$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.82 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b9…0a8bbacked No | 43c | 232$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a8…7d37backed Yes | 49c | 220.35$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.48 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +9.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fe…1f3ebacked Yes | 5c | 213.22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.95 | 216 | 31.9%69 W · 147 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3003…efa3backed Yes | 63c | 212.86$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.6 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -10.3wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -31%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4388…5050backed No | 33c | 205.26$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.06 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x272c…7f07backed No | 8c | 200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 95 | 24.2%23 W · 72 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be4…dcbbbacked No | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb23e…829abacked Yes | 61c | 199.99$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.42 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 15c | 189.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 359 | 21.4%77 W · 282 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf01a…f231backed Yes | 60c | 180.41$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.82 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e29…a4a0backed No | 41c | 178.05$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.38 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -7.4wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…56dcbacked No | 38c | 171.92$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.62 | 137 | 38%52 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked Yes | 71c | 171.83$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.36 | 99 | 81.8%81 W · 18 L | +9.7wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 8c | 163.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 366 | 34.4%126 W · 240 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…701bbacked No | 34c | 160.35$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.36 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5323…326abacked No | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4c…995fbacked No | 30c | 159.13$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…a0d9backed Yes | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd324…b23cbacked Yes | 63c | 149.96$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.08 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 57c | 142.91$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.31 | 490 | 23.5%115 W · 375 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42d0…cbc5backed No | 45c | 140.78$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 67cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…fdecbacked Yes | 66c | 140.54$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.95 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…b4d9backed Yes | 73c | 136.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.87 | 241 | 49.4%119 W · 122 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd064…c4d1backed Yes | 60c | 130.2$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.08 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3270…e011backed Yes | 75c | 124.96$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.69 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 38cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed Yes | 66c | 120$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.68 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ad…39c6backed No | 70c | 110$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.21 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05c8…2223backed Yes | 62c | 104.1$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.76 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727e…8b9dbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae22…8794backed No | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdc…444dbacked No | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.7 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…3583backed Yes | 58c | 99.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.85 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db3…1d38backed Yes | 65c | 98.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed No | 30c | 86.38$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 67c | 82.28$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.48 | 181 | 35.9%65 W · 116 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cb…6e8fbacked No | 45c | 66.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2c…5e16backed No | 34c | 59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37aa…01f4backed Yes | 73c | 54.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86f0…610cbacked No | 37c | 54.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…6a92backed Yes | 52c | 52.89$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 194 | 49.5%96 W · 98 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…dbebbacked No | 39c | 50.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…f0fbbacked Yes | 67c | 50.66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b7…f43cbacked No | 34c | 50.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +6.6wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6050…ed6dbacked No | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3f…6e55backed No | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 14cpaid | +59%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa3…86e8backed Yes | 63c | 45.37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Yes | 70c | 41.63$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +15.2wins | +0.17per pick | 34cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x058f…4883backed No | 69c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f9…8688backed No | 34c | 39.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 31c | 37.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4304…5e7bbacked Yes | 70c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…cb5ebacked Yes | 65c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d12…caf8backed Yes | 63c | 23.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f7…7eadbacked Yes | 66c | 22.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 34cpaid | +158.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b0…a817backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc99…90d3backed Yes | 80c | 19.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.06 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…6237backed No | 56c | 19.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1620…227bbacked No | 71c | 16.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…41abbacked Yes | 67c | 15.05$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Iran successfully targets shipping on June 27?this page
- Iran successfully targets shipping on July 10?No won
- Iran successfully targets shipping on July 11?No won
- Iran successfully targets shipping on July 12?Yes won
- Iran successfully targets shipping on July 13?No won
- Iran successfully targets shipping on July 14?Yes won
- Iran successfully targets shipping on July 15?No won
- Iran successfully targets shipping on July 16?No won
- Iran successfully targets shipping on July 17?No won
- Iran successfully targets shipping on July 19?No won
- Iran successfully targets shipping on July 1?No won
- Iran successfully targets shipping on July 20?Yes won
- Iran successfully targets shipping on July 21?No won
- Iran successfully targets shipping on July 23?No won
- Iran successfully targets shipping on July 24?No won
- Iran successfully targets shipping on July 28?No won
- Iran successfully targets shipping on July 29?No won
- Iran successfully targets shipping on July 2?No won
- Iran successfully targets shipping on July 30?No won
- Iran successfully targets shipping on July 31?No won
- Iran successfully targets shipping on July 3?No won
- Iran successfully targets shipping on July 4?No won
- Iran successfully targets shipping on July 5?No won
- Iran successfully targets shipping on July 6?No won
- Iran successfully targets shipping on July 7?Yes won
- Iran successfully targets shipping on July 8?No won
- Iran successfully targets shipping on July 9?No won
- Iran successfully targets shipping on June 26?No won
- Iran successfully targets shipping on June 28?No won
- Iran successfully targets shipping on June 29?No won
- Iran successfully targets shipping on June 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.