Middle East · resolved market
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa43e21ce35fc95114ea4707654c4a666b27678daa42329de3101987b624ee821
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,730
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,250
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,730 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa65c…7997backed Yes | 73c | 6,604$4,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,793.27 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd20b…3a20backed Yes | 57c | 5,113$2,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,938.78 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed No | 23c | 2,275$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,748.37 | 423 | 29.1%123 W · 300 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22e4…ef1cbacked No | 27c | 2,042$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,490.07 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb1…acc2backed Yes | 25c | 1,419$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.91 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 33cpaid | +93.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6992…6c1dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 222 | 27%60 W · 162 L | +17.8wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf63a…5d80backed No | 70c | 1,169$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.42 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 31c | 1,156$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.72 | 217 | 26.7%58 W · 159 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47ae…ee94backed Yes | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 8c | 953.39$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.41 | 442 | 24.4%108 W · 334 L | +22.2wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3f…5095backed No | 46c | 924.16$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +116.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39bc…8230backed Yes | 15c | 864.12$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…2ff9backed Yes | 42c | 724.72$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.06 | 284 | 38.7%110 W · 174 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked Yes | 3c | 650.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -43%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 4c | 511.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 476 | 9.9%47 W · 429 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb760…ccd7backed No | 75c | 472.64$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.45 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked No | 27c | 459.4$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.36 | 296 | 53.7%159 W · 137 L | +20.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +104.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a4…527cbacked Yes | 3c | 450.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…db85backed Yes | 48c | 418.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 344 | 40.4%139 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1c…5fe8backed Yes | 21c | 377.45$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.54 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -5.9wins | -0.24per pick | 28cpaid | -83.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1c…e801backed No | 59c | 373.65$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.65 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeffe…5efabacked No | 49c | 306.03$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.03 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 138 | 29%40 W · 98 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9352…2227backed Yes | 11c | 287.56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.93 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 12c | 269.44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.22 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0db…b117backed No | 80c | 250$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed No | 45c | 221.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.4 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +9.6wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 56c | 218.93$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.88 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa837…34eabacked Yes | 35c | 218.01$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +824.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…9411backed Yes | 79c | 211.84$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.43 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc435…2494backed Yes | 73c | 194.2$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 78 | 21.8%17 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked Yes | 11c | 189.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 337 | 41.2%139 W · 198 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x983d…becfbacked No | 71c | 169.62$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.62 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ea…b02abacked Yes | 39c | 167.91$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.73 | 105 | 13.3%14 W · 91 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0d…53f7backed Yes | 31c | 150$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecc…1d30backed Yes | 51c | 147.13$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.85 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb70…01c0backed No | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +82%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fc…49d7backed No | 54c | 137.18$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.79 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +6.4wins | +0.64per pick | 26cpaid | +313.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x708d…ea78backed Yes | 30c | 131$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.27 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f55…92c3backed No | 69c | 128.21$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…821fbacked Yes | 46c | 122.01$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.7 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02b1…fb65backed Yes | 16c | 121.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 11c | 120$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 306 | 35.9%110 W · 196 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Yes | 57c | 112.11$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.04 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 20c | 112$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x853c…bd03backed Yes | 41c | 111.01$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.92 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…f74cbacked No | 56c | 110$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9db3…1d38backed Yes | 41c | 106.57$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.43 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fe…1f3ebacked No | 45c | 102.47$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.36 | 216 | 31.9%69 W · 147 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5660…0593backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…1c98backed No | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 333 | 37.5%125 W · 208 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb52…b81abacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…fb48backed Yes | 32c | 96.56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.71 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ab…8253backed No | 60c | 96.44$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.74 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85e7…5e49backed Yes | 49c | 96$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.91 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 17c | 90.41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.82 | 589 | 27.2%160 W · 429 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed No | 44c | 89.4$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.41 | 123 | 25.2%31 W · 92 L | +15.2wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…e629backed Yes | 47c | 85.79$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.64 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac76…9359backed Yes | 35c | 82.47$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcacc…2eacbacked Yes | 16c | 79.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…4b33backed No | 69c | 79.52$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.56 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 56c | 79.06$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.19 | 208 | 23.1%48 W · 160 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 50c | 74.65$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.46 | 857 | 25.2%216 W · 641 L | -115.1wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 52c | 64.49$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.96 | 68 | 72.1%49 W · 19 L | +10.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x92a7…eb78backed No | 37c | 63$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.7 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.22per pick | 32cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb731…5797backed No | 44c | 62.95$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.09 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 46c | 62.53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 344 | 32.3%111 W · 233 L | -31.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a1…4be5backed No | 46c | 62.08$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +144.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 79c | 61.96$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 99 | 81.8%81 W · 18 L | +9.7wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2330…ed99backed No | 45c | 60.79$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.17 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +119.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…5ff2backed Yes | 29c | 57.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff91…ab3abacked Yes | 70c | 54.39$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.29 | 166 | 50%83 W · 83 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc972…dcd9backed Yes | 50c | 49.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…780dbacked Yes | 40c | 49.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x929a…5ab4backed No | 57c | 45.13$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6332…1b7abacked Yes | 67c | 44.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x791d…d914backed Yes | 56c | 44.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 48c | 44.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 423 | 11.6%49 W · 374 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8de0…7f22backed Yes | 49c | 40.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 38cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4821…6ab1backed Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ca…4419backed No | 79c | 38.09$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…6237backed No | 44c | 25.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1620…227bbacked No | 59c | 20.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65ab…0a76backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Iran successfully targets shipping on July 13?this page
- Iran successfully targets shipping on July 10?No won
- Iran successfully targets shipping on July 11?No won
- Iran successfully targets shipping on July 12?Yes won
- Iran successfully targets shipping on July 14?Yes won
- Iran successfully targets shipping on July 15?No won
- Iran successfully targets shipping on July 16?No won
- Iran successfully targets shipping on July 17?No won
- Iran successfully targets shipping on July 19?No won
- Iran successfully targets shipping on July 1?No won
- Iran successfully targets shipping on July 20?Yes won
- Iran successfully targets shipping on July 21?No won
- Iran successfully targets shipping on July 23?No won
- Iran successfully targets shipping on July 24?No won
- Iran successfully targets shipping on July 28?No won
- Iran successfully targets shipping on July 29?No won
- Iran successfully targets shipping on July 2?No won
- Iran successfully targets shipping on July 30?No won
- Iran successfully targets shipping on July 31?No won
- Iran successfully targets shipping on July 3?No won
- Iran successfully targets shipping on July 4?No won
- Iran successfully targets shipping on July 5?No won
- Iran successfully targets shipping on July 6?No won
- Iran successfully targets shipping on July 7?Yes won
- Iran successfully targets shipping on July 8?No won
- Iran successfully targets shipping on July 9?No won
- Iran successfully targets shipping on June 26?No won
- Iran successfully targets shipping on June 27?Yes won
- Iran successfully targets shipping on June 28?No won
- Iran successfully targets shipping on June 29?No won
- Iran successfully targets shipping on June 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.