Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Virginia Tech Hokies vs. North Carolina Tar Heels
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4a258e5294c3202411a4e6cf538396cf32aef482f08e2f0adb7507a899ad4ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- North Carolina Tar Heelsof Virginia Tech Hokies, North Carolina Tar Heels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $95,454
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $119,277
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,454 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 27c | 21,852$5,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,881.41 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 73c | 18,742$13,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,060.29 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 1c | 12,031$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.55 | 318 | 37.7%120 W · 198 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 1c | 8,561$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.57 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 27c | 2,335$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.15 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…7d10backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 73c | 2,328$1,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.51 | 298 | 45.3%135 W · 163 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 27c | 2,112$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.15 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca28…54a7backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 74c | 1,347$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.28 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 73c | 1,080$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.73 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 74c | 1,055$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.44 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 28c | 1,047$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.86 | 251 | 30.7%77 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 27c | 1,000$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 27c | 789.44$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 122 | 30.3%37 W · 85 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 78c | 734.53$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.86 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37aa…01f4backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 22c | 728.59$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.41 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 16c | 641.76$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.48 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…85b5backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 75c | 595.54$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.73 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 73c | 574.99$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.25 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…5dc1backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 74c | 536.9$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.59 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 78c | 520.5$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.92 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 16c | 512.63$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.77 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 73c | 397.24$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.25 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 78c | 391.68$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.86 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 17c | 383.14$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.2 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 23c | 351.47$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.25 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad9…e466backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 72c | 349.99$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 17c | 348.41$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.23 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 28c | 298.92$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.7 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 76c | 244.43$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.66 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 27c | 230.77$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.31 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | +12.3wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 31c | 228.41$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.04 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 69c | 220$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.2 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 6c | 186.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…8276backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 28c | 176.67$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.47 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 79c | 151.29$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.93 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d0…6fc8backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 73c | 136.04$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.73 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 68c | 135.96$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.51 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 73c | 122.44$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.06 | 308 | 53.2%164 W · 144 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6256…584dbacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 27c | 114.76$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 22c | 96.73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 26c | 73.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 74c | 67.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.88 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 19c | 61.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…4a48backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 27c | 61.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf4…4c5abacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 75c | 59.6$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 76c | 54.61$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2838…32bbbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 77c | 51.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6483…750abacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 28c | 49.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 28c | 48.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 75c | 32.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 390 | 50.5%197 W · 193 L | -34.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58e6…d075backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 72c | 28.8$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 74c | 26.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 72c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 430 | 53.3%229 W · 201 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 74c | 20.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8510…57e6backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 68c | 17.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x394b…4f55backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 72c | 16.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.63 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 79c | 15.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.25 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Virginia Tech Hokies vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsthis page
- Spread: North Carolina Tar Heels (-6.5)North Carolina Tar Heels won
- Virginia Tech Hokies vs. North Carolina Tar Heels: O/U 149.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.