Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: North Carolina Tar Heels (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde4e5e1f1eaf9bf2105b34a325ad667e533162bca86ad5ffda3e7ebb0fc900cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- North Carolina Tar Heelsof North Carolina Tar Heels, Virginia Tech Hokies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,840
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,495
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,840 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 48c | 9,222$4,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,426.48 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 52c | 3,645$1,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,753.1 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…7d10backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 52c | 3,138$1,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,506.25 | 298 | 45.3%135 W · 163 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 52c | 994.16$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.14 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 50c | 601.89$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.89 | 251 | 30.7%77 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 50c | 594.75$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.38 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00ed…0a9fbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 52c | 390.79$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.58 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…5dc1backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 52c | 345.04$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.62 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…2504backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 52c | 238.28$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.38 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d6…e952backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 49c | 202.3$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 57c | 168.75$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 49c | 141.37$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.27 | 277 | 55.2%153 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…6dddbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 40c | 137.78$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.67 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 52c | 107.22$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.46 | 293 | 37.2%109 W · 184 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 52c | 107.16$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.44 | 248 | 57.3%142 W · 106 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x198c…6a94backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 49c | 101.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 188 | 46.8%88 W · 100 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 48c | 96.15$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6e…b1a7backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 52c | 95.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5127…f137backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 52c | 57.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.45 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53aa…6081backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 52c | 57.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.45 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 56c | 53.05$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea4b…dedebacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 51c | 48.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56a8…3639backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 51c | 48.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…a219backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 52c | 47.66$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89bc…a463backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 52c | 47.66$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 52c | 35.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.94 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 52c | 30.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.54 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 60c | 25.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 49c | 24.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: North Carolina Tar Heels (-6.5)this page
- Virginia Tech Hokies vs. North Carolina Tar HeelsNorth Carolina Tar Heels won
- Virginia Tech Hokies vs. North Carolina Tar Heels: O/U 149.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.