TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3f65…0075

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
38
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Lol, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 54 out of 100; worst Us Midterms at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Team Vitality win IEM Krakow 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+233.3%+$105
Will PARIVISION win IEM Krakow 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$169
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$166.73
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+100%+$200
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$340
Counter-Strike: G2 vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+122.8%+$294.78
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs NIP (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+163.2%+$163.16
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Passion UA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+65%+$181.97
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$229
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+44.9%+$89.86
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+122.8%+$55.27
Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs MASONIC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Play-In Group Dbacked MASONIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$28
All 16 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+45.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Fnatic (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+66.7%+$66.67
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Los Ratones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+426.3%+$85.26
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+78.6%+$117.86
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+29.9%+$29.87
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$80
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50
LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+88.7%+$88.68
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+35.1%+$35.14
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$75
LoL: Team Vitality vs Fnatic (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$25
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+177.8%+$44.44
All 11 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick14cpaid-35.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.