TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Will PARIVISION win IEM Krakow 2026?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$95,494
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$97,436

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,494 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf7c6…1c37backed Yes9c33,600$3,002 inLost-$3,002.1211937.8%45 W · 74 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Yes8c7,347$577 inLost-$576.61,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes2c5,659$91 inLost-$91.141,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5019…74cdbacked Yes10c4,433$435 inLost-$434.7311630.2%35 W · 81 L-0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24d2…92c5backed Yes8c2,589$216 inLost-$216.1412638.9%49 W · 77 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f65…0075backed Yes9c1,784$169 inLost-$1691643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x285a…0126backed Yes11c1,783$192 inLost-$191.713857.2%79 W · 59 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes6c1,662$92 inLost-$92.4424939.8%99 W · 150 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a40…4093backed Yes2c1,594$29 inLost-$29.043938.5%15 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x866f…d410backed Yes2c1,223$28 inLost-$28.116521.5%14 W · 51 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick16cpaid+24%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes2c1,085$18 inLost-$17.511118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick12cpaid+34.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes9c1,018$93 inLost-$92.9740%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…acdcbacked Yes4c965.9$35 inLost-$35.422240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-32.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes6c694.42$40 inLost-$39.79283.6%1 W · 27 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick10cpaid-83.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc5d…9e94backed Yes3c626.74$21 inLost-$21.131526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-54%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaadb…85f9backed Yes10c560.85$58 inLost-$58.425941.3%107 W · 152 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes9c548.59$48 inLost-$47.5731735.6%113 W · 204 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked Yes15c546.85$80 inLost-$8044641.3%184 W · 262 L-28.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed Yes9c528.37$47 inLost-$47.1275450.5%381 W · 373 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85b1…b332backed Yes7c512.77$35 inLost-$34.986648.5%32 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes9c453.8$42 inLost-$41.6340%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8063…b962backed Yes10c404.04$40 inLost-$403145.2%14 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes8c368.22$28 inLost-$28.265973%18 W · 579 L-221.0wins-0.37per pick40cpaid-90.7%equal weight11-0.36 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes7c299.99$22 inLost-$22.37534.7%26 W · 49 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3500…9dc5backed Yes6c273.94$18 inLost-$17.571020%2 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-48.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26c3…0613backed Yes8c241.6$20 inLost-$20425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-44.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd72e…3627backed Yes7c209.74$14 inLost-$147856.4%44 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9beb…c0dfbacked Yes7c200.56$15 inLost-$14.93955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ca5…e6c9backed Yes8c200$15 inLost-$15.23844.7%17 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6275…46d0backed Yes8c185.21$15 inLost-$14.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea6e…83e0backed Yes9c160.28$14 inLost-$13.8430%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a19…eb54backed Yes7c154.95$11 inLost-$11.19762.9%61 W · 36 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+9.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf30a…3583backed Yes8c150$13 inLost-$12.6333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1600…9236backed Yes8c126.84$10 inLost-$10.432157.1%12 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b0b…09c6backed Yes9c106.5$10 inLost-$103661.1%22 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.