CS2 · resolved market
Will MOUZ win IEM Krakow 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20485f05e05a997269f12efcdad43708831e43dbe33f3776f4161cc313e907b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,548
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,920
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,548 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 4,673$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.49 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Yes | 5c | 1,421$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.41 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 4c | 1,197$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 194 | 23.7%46 W · 148 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32b…90c8backed Yes | 6c | 999.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca35…ade5backed Yes | 5c | 984.78$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00b4…9454backed Yes | 20c | 982.87$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 5c | 973.06$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.94 | 249 | 39.8%99 W · 150 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e25…ad7fbacked Yes | 6c | 781.18$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.38 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 8cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd49…b383backed Yes | 7c | 724.55$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 5c | 659.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.23 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -83.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Yes | 9c | 576.3$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.87 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…a742backed Yes | 12c | 399.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 169 | 50.9%86 W · 83 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec3…0cf1backed Yes | 9c | 397.24$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Yes | 5c | 378.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes | 4c | 363.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 148 | 20.3%30 W · 118 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Yes | 11c | 350$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.27 | 503 | 40.2%202 W · 301 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x677f…1228backed Yes | 5c | 321.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 137 | 40.9%56 W · 81 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c27…1c62backed Yes | 11c | 306.12$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e7…fef1backed Yes | 7c | 287.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a0…d84fbacked Yes | 7c | 283.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -5.8wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd57…8f1abacked Yes | 13c | 282.66$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.38 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed Yes | 5c | 259.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d91…aaacbacked Yes | 21c | 247.95$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8db7…5143backed Yes | 6c | 230.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…b737backed Yes | 9c | 217.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa019…c220backed Yes | 9c | 210.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 214 | 37.9%81 W · 133 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5147…a0b7backed Yes | 5c | 202.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 117 | 32.5%38 W · 79 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed No | 77c | 164.82$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.91 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will MOUZ win IEM Krakow 2026?this page
- Will 3DMAX win IEM Krakow 2026?No won
- Will Astralis win IEM Krakow 2026?No won
- Will Aurora Gaming win IEM Krakow 2026?No won
- Will B8 win IEM Krakow 2026?No won
- Will BC.Game Esports win IEM Krakow 2026?No won
- Will FURIA win IEM Krakow 2026?No won
- Will FUT Esports win IEM Krakow 2026?No won
- Will FaZe Clan win IEM Krakow 2026?No won
- Will G2 Esports win IEM Krakow 2026?No won
- Will GamerLegion win IEM Krakow 2026?No won
- Will HEROIC win IEM Krakow 2026?No won
- Will Legacy win IEM Krakow 2026?No won
- Will NRG win IEM Krakow 2026?No won
- Will Natus Vincere win IEM Krakow 2026?No won
- Will Ninjas in Pyjamas win IEM Krakow 2026?No won
- Will PARIVISION win IEM Krakow 2026?No won
- Will Team Falcons win IEM Krakow 2026?No won
- Will Team Liquid win IEM Krakow 2026?No won
- Will Team Spirit win IEM Krakow 2026?No won
- Will Team Vitality win IEM Krakow 2026?Yes won
- Will The MongolZ win IEM Krakow 2026?No won
- Will paiN Gaming win IEM Krakow 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.