CS2 · resolved market
Will FURIA win IEM Krakow 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd92aecb675265a1e831da92ca41b91923ff7f211fb20066d43eadc9df4e9323c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,017
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,935
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,017 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Yes | 33c | 2,400$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 10c | 1,867$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.41 | 194 | 23.7%46 W · 148 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Yes | 32c | 1,714$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.56 | 379 | 46.4%176 W · 203 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes | 9c | 1,705$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.47 | 148 | 20.3%30 W · 118 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked No | 67c | 1,554$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.68 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1182…b6bbbacked Yes | 22c | 1,551$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.06 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 18c | 1,075$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.02 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 13c | 967.5$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.48 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 17c | 925.35$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.57 | 107 | 35.5%38 W · 69 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39a8…7d57backed Yes | 25c | 909.55$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.64 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9095…2f3fbacked Yes | 34c | 843.22$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.69 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 66c | 821.51$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.06 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…4090backed Yes | 36c | 653.68$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfab6…8852backed Yes | 37c | 626.25$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad8…fdffbacked Yes | 16c | 621.23$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.39 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Yes | 15c | 600.39$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.75 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Yes | 38c | 502.88$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.93 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 12c | 502.23$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.27 | 66 | 13.6%9 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b33…9b98backed Yes | 14c | 469.25$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca35…ade5backed Yes | 13c | 468.81$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…1913backed Yes | 35c | 450$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebdb…4bffbacked Yes | 46c | 430.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe28f…be21backed Yes | 18c | 415.52$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 14c | 403.5$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.23 | 249 | 39.8%99 W · 150 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba1…cf36backed Yes | 13c | 365$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.45 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cee…1ac0backed Yes | 38c | 358.44$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…f0bebacked Yes | 17c | 328.04$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16f0…aba5backed No | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 182 | 61%111 W · 71 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…14f1backed Yes | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc56…e7e1backed Yes | 17c | 291.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0164…9ed6backed Yes | 11c | 285.76$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9e…4bf4backed Yes | 18c | 280.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd00e…7fabbacked Yes | 16c | 266.45$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed No | 80c | 265.12$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.06 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed Yes | 13c | 244.8$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.27 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked No | 65c | 219.29$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.75 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 15c | 214.15$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.02 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 13c | 200.09$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -83.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5206…0f4cbacked Yes | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 265 | 35.5%94 W · 171 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x052b…5117backed Yes | 21c | 194.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe901…d4cfbacked Yes | 22c | 166.08$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 8c | 149.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed Yes | 9c | 148.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0756…45d8backed Yes | 37c | 145.26$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 11c | 139.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 317 | 35.6%113 W · 204 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 70c | 136.94$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 273 | 48.4%132 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a7…96f9backed Yes | 18c | 129.79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.11 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 17c | 128.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.37 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e99…b928backed Yes | 20c | 125.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd1…3a26backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 17c | 120$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85b1…b332backed Yes | 17c | 116.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ced…c4a8backed Yes | 18c | 106.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f60…cf60backed Yes | 25c | 100.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x628b…b84fbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 503 | 40.2%202 W · 301 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…0afcbacked Yes | 33c | 91.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…83e0backed Yes | 12c | 87.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4725…619bbacked No | 65c | 85.29$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.85 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f58…254cbacked Yes | 16c | 74.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6819…fb70backed Yes | 19c | 70.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…5ae4backed Yes | 17c | 68.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f47…6cf8backed Yes | 35c | 68.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe866…1a70backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Yes | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd2…f8a0backed No | 80c | 59.68$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 187 | 52.4%98 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x370c…3eb1backed Yes | 34c | 56.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb741…2638backed Yes | 35c | 44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 76c | 27.66$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec3…0cf1backed No | 71c | 21.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FURIA win IEM Krakow 2026?this page
- Will 3DMAX win IEM Krakow 2026?No won
- Will Astralis win IEM Krakow 2026?No won
- Will Aurora Gaming win IEM Krakow 2026?No won
- Will B8 win IEM Krakow 2026?No won
- Will BC.Game Esports win IEM Krakow 2026?No won
- Will FUT Esports win IEM Krakow 2026?No won
- Will FaZe Clan win IEM Krakow 2026?No won
- Will G2 Esports win IEM Krakow 2026?No won
- Will GamerLegion win IEM Krakow 2026?No won
- Will HEROIC win IEM Krakow 2026?No won
- Will Legacy win IEM Krakow 2026?No won
- Will MOUZ win IEM Krakow 2026?No won
- Will NRG win IEM Krakow 2026?No won
- Will Natus Vincere win IEM Krakow 2026?No won
- Will Ninjas in Pyjamas win IEM Krakow 2026?No won
- Will PARIVISION win IEM Krakow 2026?No won
- Will Team Falcons win IEM Krakow 2026?No won
- Will Team Liquid win IEM Krakow 2026?No won
- Will Team Spirit win IEM Krakow 2026?No won
- Will Team Vitality win IEM Krakow 2026?Yes won
- Will The MongolZ win IEM Krakow 2026?No won
- Will paiN Gaming win IEM Krakow 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.