CS2 · resolved market
Will The MongolZ win IEM Krakow 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x344f560e9aaa7059241d13d08e6c64493eca3e0271e88b907af8549c19df789a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,259
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,788
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,259 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 7 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 0c | 3,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e25…ad7fbacked Yes | 2c | 2,554$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.35 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 8cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 2c | 1,250$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 249 | 39.8%99 W · 150 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xede3…de3fbacked Yes | 2c | 789.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 772.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5206…0f4cbacked Yes | 2c | 717.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 265 | 35.5%94 W · 171 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad8…fdffbacked Yes | 6c | 453.84$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will The MongolZ win IEM Krakow 2026?this page
- Will 3DMAX win IEM Krakow 2026?No won
- Will Astralis win IEM Krakow 2026?No won
- Will Aurora Gaming win IEM Krakow 2026?No won
- Will B8 win IEM Krakow 2026?No won
- Will BC.Game Esports win IEM Krakow 2026?No won
- Will FURIA win IEM Krakow 2026?No won
- Will FUT Esports win IEM Krakow 2026?No won
- Will FaZe Clan win IEM Krakow 2026?No won
- Will G2 Esports win IEM Krakow 2026?No won
- Will GamerLegion win IEM Krakow 2026?No won
- Will HEROIC win IEM Krakow 2026?No won
- Will Legacy win IEM Krakow 2026?No won
- Will MOUZ win IEM Krakow 2026?No won
- Will NRG win IEM Krakow 2026?No won
- Will Natus Vincere win IEM Krakow 2026?No won
- Will Ninjas in Pyjamas win IEM Krakow 2026?No won
- Will PARIVISION win IEM Krakow 2026?No won
- Will Team Falcons win IEM Krakow 2026?No won
- Will Team Liquid win IEM Krakow 2026?No won
- Will Team Spirit win IEM Krakow 2026?No won
- Will Team Vitality win IEM Krakow 2026?Yes won
- Will paiN Gaming win IEM Krakow 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.