TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Will Team Falcons win IEM Krakow 2026?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$16,459
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$13,656

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,459 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x36bf…2864backed Yes4c1,523$68 inLost-$67.6319423.7%46 W · 148 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x677f…1228backed Yes11c1,060$121 inLost-$12113740.9%56 W · 81 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a40…4093backed Yes13c866.75$115 inLost-$115.073938.5%15 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes11c844.21$89 inLost-$88.9114820.3%30 W · 118 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-28.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca35…ade5backed Yes12c825.87$101 inLost-$100.8530%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5147…a0b7backed Yes13c742.81$97 inLost-$97.3411732.5%38 W · 79 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Yes4c589.98$25 inLost-$25.053716.2%6 W · 31 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick8cpaid+37.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes12c587.14$70 inLost-$70.466613.6%9 W · 57 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0bd…5f54backed Yes14c509.45$70 inLost-$70.269338.7%36 W · 57 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes12c494.14$61 inLost-$61.3924939.8%99 W · 150 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Yes12c419.96$52 inLost-$52.391,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5f5…0044backed Yes14c399.99$56 inLost-$565244.2%23 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ba1…cf36backed Yes14c365$51 inLost-$51.12729.6%8 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick34cpaid+0.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc255…0470backed Yes13c316.87$40 inLost-$40.4514863.5%94 W · 54 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Yes12c265.48$31 inLost-$31.221,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e25…ad7fbacked Yes10c251.07$25 inLost-$25.111513.3%2 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick8cpaid+29.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5f8…1b0dbacked Yes19c251.03$47 inLost-$47.01933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-31.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes10c232.93$23 inLost-$23.4769863%440 W · 258 L+65.3wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x42a7…96f9backed Yes18c201.27$37 inLost-$36.859047.8%43 W · 47 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-23.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ca5…e6c9backed Yes13c199.99$26 inLost-$263844.7%17 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Yes13c199.99$26 inLost-$261,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf085…fe9cbacked Yes23c187.96$44 inLost-$43.532334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe4ca…1383backed Yes7c185.1$13 inLost-$12.662429.2%7 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes11c178.6$19 inLost-$19.21118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick12cpaid+34.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb79…91b5backed Yes7c156$11 inLost-$11.112030%6 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3571…771bbacked Yes12c149.92$18 inLost-$1810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x139e…9a26backed Yes14c138.79$20 inLost-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93f7…02d5backed Yes15c133.33$20 inLost-$204934.7%17 W · 32 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1600…9236backed Yes17c126.77$22 inLost-$22.022157.1%12 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a39…7d63backed Yes10c118.46$12 inLost-$12.430%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcd4…b3a8backed Yes10c115.49$12 inLost-$12.125536.4%20 W · 35 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-28.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02aa…ed9fbacked Yes15c110$16 inLost-$16.51442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ac4…14f1backed Yes15c100$15 inLost-$154531.1%14 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfaa2…3cecbacked Yes15c99.99$15 inLost-$15922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-62%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Yes16c99.97$16 inLost-$15.5264552.9%341 W · 304 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcdc3…a71fbacked Yes12c97.79$11 inLost-$11.33250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick9cpaid+672.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4818…bf0bbacked No80c50$40 inWon+$101844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-24.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.