Us Politics · resolved market
Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE before July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x149f61728a608d610215f6d3f6b3721f8cf4fcbd2c707c896594b8447f4e9719
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $586,649
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $583,323
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $586,649 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 384 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed No | 3c | 39,834$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.6 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed No | 10c | 37,000$3,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,560 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +13.0wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed No | 0c | 28,572$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.14 | 219 | 35.2%77 W · 142 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed No | 72c | 19,414$14,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,025.94 | 169 | 43.2%73 W · 96 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked No | 2c | 17,285$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.25 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed No | 72c | 15,476$11,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,068.2 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04fa…6c06backed Yes | 18c | 13,257$2,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,935.08 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbacc…e985backed Yes | 17c | 11,744$1,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,747.74 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3d…76ddbacked No | 0c | 10,040$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0093…b688backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked No | 5c | 8,927$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.32 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 7c | 8,827$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.43 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…79bdbacked Yes | 18c | 8,000$1,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,554.64 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…2f22backed Yes | 26c | 7,753$2,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,735.29 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +6.9wins | +0.17per pick | 31cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6a34…47e9backed No | 27c | 6,642$1,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,816.01 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -4.0wins | -0.31per pick | 46cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Yes | 25c | 6,500$1,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,887.49 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2023…2d55backed No | 7c | 6,243$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.54 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x040e…8edfbacked No | 69c | 6,028$4,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,142.81 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5d…6be6backed Yes | 31c | 5,963$1,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,101.19 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked Yes | 28c | 5,954$1,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,295.28 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3143…81b1backed No | 72c | 5,152$3,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,723.4 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf490…727cbacked Yes | 33c | 5,036$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,386.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +205.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5923…a3f7backed Yes | 19c | 5,000$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,050 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed No | 74c | 4,888$3,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,601.22 | 135 | 40%54 W · 81 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4558…a2b3backed No | 76c | 4,467$3,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,396.03 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75c…f6c2backed No | 21c | 4,011$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.19 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db3…77ccbacked Yes | 31c | 3,950$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,736.15 | 59 | 16.9%10 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 72c | 3,913$2,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,823.09 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…3674backed No | 35c | 3,719$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1498…1caebacked Yes | 31c | 3,115$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,162.4 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked No | 3c | 3,095$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.68 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…ec52backed No | 15c | 3,093$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.33 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Yes | 61c | 2,893$1,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.09 | 216 | 34.3%74 W · 142 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 73c | 2,865$2,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,090.66 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ca…b890backed Yes | 35c | 2,564$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,663.73 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x879b…2f18backed No | 5c | 2,547$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.62 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x361f…0fc2backed Yes | 20c | 2,473$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,971.08 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…e6b7backed No | 31c | 2,444$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.74 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -54%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b2…bfd6backed Yes | 25c | 2,362$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,772.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35b2…bd2cbacked Yes | 21c | 2,350$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,856.5 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 16cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 8c | 2,237$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.55 | 210 | 22.4%47 W · 163 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c97…1b68backed No | 14c | 2,192$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.46 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfd…0029backed No | 80c | 2,053$1,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,642.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf467…d6febacked No | 25c | 2,004$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691b…fce0backed No | 79c | 2,000$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…27eabacked No | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e71…ad34backed No | 76c | 1,968$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec1…467abacked Yes | 21c | 1,965$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,553.44 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b3…7469backed Yes | 21c | 1,905$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,504.76 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 23c | 1,850$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,415.89 | 176 | 33%58 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa660…3ebbbacked Yes | 15c | 1,828$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,553.65 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…6a4cbacked No | 70c | 1,755$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,221.88 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25e4…732fbacked No | 15c | 1,740$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.34 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…05e9backed No | 10c | 1,677$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.7 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8de8…fc01backed Yes | 22c | 1,633$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,270.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +50%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe149…9c7ebacked Yes | 25c | 1,633$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f86…54d6backed Yes | 24c | 1,594$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215.51 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a3…cc69backed Yes | 20c | 1,589$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,270.91 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked Yes | 23c | 1,566$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,211.3 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 29c | 1,565$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.97 | 172 | 25%43 W · 129 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c96…df45backed Yes | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +245.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 22c | 1,500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170.05 | 283 | 20.5%58 W · 225 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814a…25adbacked No | 70c | 1,500$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.42 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c6b…29fdbacked Yes | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb16e…e2d6backed No | 67c | 1,490$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.29 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.6wins | -0.52per pick | 72cpaid | -75%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 34c | 1,455$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.07 | 135 | 37.8%51 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x030a…acfcbacked Yes | 22c | 1,417$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.34 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 76c | 1,411$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.71 | 355 | 19.7%70 W · 285 L | -16.3wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f24…f47bbacked Yes | 19c | 1,321$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.05 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa727…8289backed No | 6c | 1,300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 78c | 1,202$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.94 | 153 | 32.7%50 W · 103 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2459…8d76backed No | 73c | 1,202$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.83 | 125 | 31.2%39 W · 86 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x995d…bd40backed Yes | 17c | 1,144$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.79 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 25cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8e…0045backed Yes | 22c | 1,138$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.8 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -28%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed No | 6c | 1,084$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.06 | 177 | 13%23 W · 154 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 25c | 1,053$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.75 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +10.8wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x69da…f98cbacked Yes | 19c | 1,053$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.63 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d6…f3bdbacked Yes | 18c | 1,025$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.5 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52be…a121backed Yes | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd0…bc3dbacked Yes | 27c | 996.18$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.19 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…61b5backed Yes | 21c | 952.38$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.38 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7be…cc5cbacked No | 27c | 947.83$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.92 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec1b…c92fbacked Yes | 26c | 920$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.5 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…8a67backed No | 4c | 914.46$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.65 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8a…e6b5backed Yes | 22c | 909.09$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +118.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…c364backed No | 67c | 850$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9520…fa6ebacked Yes | 23c | 831.99$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked No | 8c | 822$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.21 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x00b4…75dbbacked Yes | 24c | 816.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.67 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed No | 70c | 807$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.6 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01c8…a2a0backed Yes | 23c | 803.92$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.02 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +181.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89fc…b5c2backed Yes | 21c | 800$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 14cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e0…f11cbacked Yes | 24c | 791.96$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc6…62e0backed No | 71c | 756.64$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.56 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x213a…57f2backed No | 70c | 714.87$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed No | 34c | 700$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x888e…e156backed No | 79c | 660$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f4b…42f4backed Yes | 21c | 659$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x249c…06e3backed No | 78c | 641$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.98 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Yes | 34c | 633.91$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.45 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.